Articles | Volume 25, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5951-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5951-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
AI-based techniques for multi-step streamflow forecasts: application for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization and performance assessment
Yuxue Guo
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
Xinting Yu
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
Haiting Gu
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
Jingkai Xie
Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources, Civil Engineering and
Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China
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Short summary
We developed an AI-based management methodology to assess forecast quality and forecast-informed reservoir operation performance together due to uncertain inflow forecasts. Results showed that higher forecast performance could lead to improved reservoir operation, while uncertain forecasts were more valuable than deterministic forecasts. Moreover, the relationship between the forecast horizon and reservoir operation was complex and depended on operating configurations and performance measures.
We developed an AI-based management methodology to assess forecast quality and forecast-informed...