Articles | Volume 28, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4501-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4501-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
14 Oct 2024
Research article |
| 14 Oct 2024
| 14 Oct 2024
Actionable human–water system modelling under uncertainty
Laura Gil-García
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
IME, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Department of Economic and Economic History, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Nazaret M. Montilla-López
WEARE Research Group, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
Carlos Gutiérrez-Martín
WEARE Research Group, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
Ángel Sánchez-Daniel
Department of Economic and Economic History, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Pablo Saiz-Santiago
Douro River Basin Authority, C/ Muro, 5, Valladolid, Spain
Josué M. Polanco-Martínez
IME, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Sciences, Universidad de Salamanca, Plaza Merced, s/n, 37008, Salamanca, Spain
Julio Pindado
IME, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Business Administration Department, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Carlos Dionisio Pérez-Blanco
IME, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
Department of Economic and Economic History, Universidad de Salamanca, Francisco Tomás y Valiente, s/n, 37007, Salamanca, Spain
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Short summary
This paper presents an interdisciplinary model for quantifying uncertainties in water allocation under climate change. It combines climate, hydrological, and microeconomic experiments with a decision support system. Multi-model analyses reveal potential futures for water management policies, emphasizing non-linear climate responses. As illustrated in the Douro River basin, minor water allocation changes have significant economic impacts, stresssing the need for adaptation strategies.
This paper presents an interdisciplinary model for quantifying uncertainties in water allocation...
