Articles | Volume 28, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4501-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4501-2024
Research article
 | 
14 Oct 2024
Research article |  | 14 Oct 2024

Actionable human–water system modelling under uncertainty

Laura Gil-García, Nazaret M. Montilla-López, Carlos Gutiérrez-Martín, Ángel Sánchez-Daniel, Pablo Saiz-Santiago, Josué M. Polanco-Martínez, Julio Pindado, and Carlos Dionisio Pérez-Blanco

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Short summary
This paper presents an interdisciplinary model for quantifying uncertainties in water allocation under climate change. It combines climate, hydrological, and microeconomic experiments with a decision support system. Multi-model analyses reveal potential futures for water management policies, emphasizing non-linear climate responses. As illustrated in the Douro River basin, minor water allocation changes have significant economic impacts, stresssing the need for adaptation strategies.