Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5741-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5741-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Bias correction of simulated historical daily streamflow at ungauged locations by using independently estimated flow duration curves
US Geological Survey, Denver, Colorado, USA
Thomas M. Over
US Geological Survey, Urbana, Illinois, USA
Julie E. Kiang
US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia, USA
Related authors
Samuel Saxe, William Farmer, Jessica Driscoll, and Terri S. Hogue
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1529–1568, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We compare simulated values from 47 models estimating surface water over the USA. Results show that model uncertainty is substantial over much of the conterminous USA and especially high in the west. Applying the studied models to a simple water accounting equation shows that model selection can significantly affect research results. This paper concludes that multimodel ensembles help to best represent uncertainty in conclusions and suggest targeted research efforts in arid regions.
William H. Farmer
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2721–2735, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2721-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2721-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
The potential of geostatistical tools, leveraging the spatial structure and dependency of correlated time series, for the prediction of daily streamflow time series at unmonitored locations is explored. Simple geostatistical tools improve on traditional estimates of daily streamflow. The temporal evolution of spatial structure, including seasonal fluctuations, is also explored. The proposed method is contrasted with more advanced geostatistical methods and shown to be comparable.
Samuel Saxe, William Farmer, Jessica Driscoll, and Terri S. Hogue
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1529–1568, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1529-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We compare simulated values from 47 models estimating surface water over the USA. Results show that model uncertainty is substantial over much of the conterminous USA and especially high in the west. Applying the studied models to a simple water accounting equation shows that model selection can significantly affect research results. This paper concludes that multimodel ensembles help to best represent uncertainty in conclusions and suggest targeted research efforts in arid regions.
William H. Farmer
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2721–2735, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2721-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2721-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
The potential of geostatistical tools, leveraging the spatial structure and dependency of correlated time series, for the prediction of daily streamflow time series at unmonitored locations is explored. Simple geostatistical tools improve on traditional estimates of daily streamflow. The temporal evolution of spatial structure, including seasonal fluctuations, is also explored. The proposed method is contrasted with more advanced geostatistical methods and shown to be comparable.
S. A. Archfield, A. Pugliese, A. Castellarin, J. O. Skøien, and J. E. Kiang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1575–1588, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1575-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1575-2013, 2013
Related subject area
Subject: Water Resources Management | Techniques and Approaches: Stochastic approaches
Check dam impact on sediment loads: example of the Guerbe River in the Swiss Alps – a catchment scale experiment
Controls on flood managed aquifer recharge through a heterogeneous vadose zone: hydrologic modeling at a site characterized with surface geophysics
Spatiotemporal responses of the crop water footprint and its associated benchmarks under different irrigation regimes to climate change scenarios in China
Bridging the scale gap: obtaining high-resolution stochastic simulations of gridded daily precipitation in a future climate
3D multiple-point geostatistical simulation of joint subsurface redox and geological architectures
News media coverage of conflict and cooperation dynamics of water events in the Lancang–Mekong River basin
Analysis of the effects of biases in ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts on electricity production in hydropower reservoir management
Using paleoclimate reconstructions to analyse hydrological epochs associated with Pacific decadal variability
Season-ahead forecasting of water storage and irrigation requirements – an application to the southwest monsoon in India
Hydrostratigraphic modeling using multiple-point statistics and airborne transient electromagnetic methods
A risk assessment methodology to evaluate the risk failure of managed aquifer recharge in the Mediterranean Basin
A coupled stochastic rainfall–evapotranspiration model for hydrological impact analysis
Real-time updating of the flood frequency distribution through data assimilation
Estimating drought risk across Europe from reported drought impacts, drought indices, and vulnerability factors
The cost of ending groundwater overdraft on the North China Plain
Definition of efficient scarcity-based water pricing policies through stochastic programming
A dual-inexact fuzzy stochastic model for water resources management and non-point source pollution mitigation under multiple uncertainties
Just two moments! A cautionary note against use of high-order moments in multifractal models in hydrology
Determining spatial variability of dry spells: a Markov-based method, applied to the Makanya catchment, Tanzania
Streamflow droughts in the Iberian Peninsula between 1945 and 2005: spatial and temporal patterns
Estimating the flood frequency distribution at seasonal and annual time scales
Domestic wells have high probability of pumping septic tank leachate
Record extension for short-gauged water quality parameters using a newly proposed robust version of the Line of Organic Correlation technique
Calibration of the modified Bartlett-Lewis model using global optimization techniques and alternative objective functions
Trend analysis of extreme precipitation in the Northwestern Highlands of Ethiopia with a case study of Debre Markos
Ariel Henrique do Prado, David Mair, Philippos Garefalakis, Chantal Schmidt, Alexander Whittaker, Sebastien Castelltort, and Fritz Schlunegger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 1173–1190, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1173-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1173-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Engineering structures known as check dams are built with the intention of managing streams. The effectiveness of such structures can be expressed by quantifying the reduction of the sediment flux after their implementation. In this contribution, we estimate and compare the volumes of sediment transported in a mountain stream for engineered and non-engineered conditions. We found that without check dams the mean sediment flux would be ca. 10 times larger in comparison with the current situation.
Zach Perzan, Gordon Osterman, and Kate Maher
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 969–990, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-969-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-969-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we simulate flood managed aquifer recharge – the process of intentionally inundating land to replenish depleted aquifers – at a site imaged with geophysical equipment. Results show that layers of clay and silt trap recharge water above the water table, where it is inaccessible to both plants and groundwater wells. Sensitivity analyses also identify the main sources of uncertainty when simulating managed aquifer recharge, helping to improve future forecasts of site performance.
Zhiwei Yue, Xiangxiang Ji, La Zhuo, Wei Wang, Zhibin Li, and Pute Wu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4637–4656, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4637-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4637-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Facing the increasing challenge of sustainable crop supply with limited water resources due to climate change, large-scale responses in the water footprint (WF) and WF benchmarks of crop production remain unclear. Here, we quantify the effects of future climate change scenarios on the WF and WF benchmarks of maize and wheat in time and space in China. Differences in crop growth between rain-fed and irrigated farms and among furrow-, sprinkler-, and micro-irrigated regimes are identified.
Qifen Yuan, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Stein Beldring, Wai Kwok Wong, and Chong-Yu Xu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5259–5275, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5259-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5259-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Localized impacts of changing precipitation patterns on surface hydrology are often assessed at a high spatial resolution. Here we introduce a stochastic method that efficiently generates gridded daily precipitation in a future climate. The method works out a stochastic model that can describe a high-resolution data product in a reference period and form a realistic precipitation generator under a projected future climate. A case study of nine catchments in Norway shows that it works well.
Rasmus Bødker Madsen, Hyojin Kim, Anders Juhl Kallesøe, Peter B. E. Sandersen, Troels Norvin Vilhelmsen, Thomas Mejer Hansen, Anders Vest Christiansen, Ingelise Møller, and Birgitte Hansen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2759–2787, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-2759-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-2759-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The protection of subsurface aquifers from contamination is an ongoing environmental challenge. Some areas of the underground have a natural capacity for reducing contaminants. In this research these areas are mapped in 3D along with information about, e.g., sand and clay, which indicates whether contaminated water from the surface will travel through these areas. This mapping technique will be fundamental for more reliable risk assessment in water quality protection.
Jing Wei, Yongping Wei, Fuqiang Tian, Natalie Nott, Claire de Wit, Liying Guo, and You Lu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1603–1615, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1603-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1603-2021, 2021
Richard Arsenault and Pascal Côté
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2735–2750, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2735-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2735-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Hydrological forecasting allows hydropower system operators to make the most efficient use of the available water as possible. Accordingly, hydrologists have been aiming at improving the quality of these forecasts. This work looks at the impacts of improving systematic errors in a forecasting scheme on the hydropower generation using a few decision-aiding tools that are used operationally by hydropower utilities. We find that the impacts differ according to the hydropower system characteristics.
Lanying Zhang, George Kuczera, Anthony S. Kiem, and Garry Willgoose
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6399–6414, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6399-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6399-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Analyses of run lengths of Pacific decadal variability (PDV) suggest that there is no significant difference between run lengths in positive and negative phases of PDV and that it is more likely than not that the PDV run length has been non-stationary in the past millennium. This raises concerns about whether variability seen in the instrumental record (the last ~100 years), or even in the shorter 300–400 year paleoclimate reconstructions, is representative of the full range of variability.
Arun Ravindranath, Naresh Devineni, Upmanu Lall, and Paulina Concha Larrauri
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5125–5141, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5125-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5125-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
We present a framework for forecasting water storage requirements in the agricultural sector and an application of this framework to water risk assessment in India. Our framework involves defining a crop-specific water stress index and applying a particular statistical forecasting model to predict seasonal water stress for the crop of interest. The application focused on forecasting crop water stress for potatoes grown during the monsoon season in the Satara district of Maharashtra.
Adrian A. S. Barfod, Ingelise Møller, Anders V. Christiansen, Anne-Sophie Høyer, Júlio Hoffimann, Julien Straubhaar, and Jef Caers
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3351–3373, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3351-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3351-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Three-dimensional geological models are important to securing and managing groundwater. Such models describe the geological architecture, which is used for modeling the flow of groundwater. Common geological modeling approaches result in one model, which does not quantify the architectural uncertainty of the geology.
We present a comparison of three different state-of-the-art stochastic multiple-point statistical methods for quantifying the geological uncertainty using real-world datasets.
Paula Rodríguez-Escales, Arnau Canelles, Xavier Sanchez-Vila, Albert Folch, Daniel Kurtzman, Rudy Rossetto, Enrique Fernández-Escalante, João-Paulo Lobo-Ferreira, Manuel Sapiano, Jon San-Sebastián, and Christoph Schüth
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3213–3227, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3213-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3213-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
In this work, we have developed a methodology to evaluate the failure risk of managed aquifer recharge, and we have applied it to six different facilities located in the Mediterranean Basin. The methodology was based on the development of a probabilistic risk assessment based on fault trees. We evaluated both technical and non-technical issues, the latter being more responsible for failure risk.
Minh Tu Pham, Hilde Vernieuwe, Bernard De Baets, and Niko E. C. Verhoest
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1263–1283, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1263-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1263-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, stochastically generated rainfall and corresponding evapotranspiration time series, generated by means of vine copulas, are used to force a simple conceptual hydrological model. The results obtained are comparable to the modelled discharge using observed forcing data. Yet, uncertainties in the modelled discharge increase with an increasing number of stochastically generated time series used. Still, the developed model has great potential for hydrological impact analysis.
Cristina Aguilar, Alberto Montanari, and María-José Polo
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3687–3700, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3687-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3687-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Assuming that floods are driven by both short- (meteorological forcing) and long-term perturbations (higher-than-usual moisture), we propose a technique for updating a season in advance the flood frequency distribution. Its application in the Po and Danube rivers helped to reduce the uncertainty in the estimation of floods and thus constitutes a promising tool for real-time management of flood risk mitigation. This study is the result of the stay of the first author at the University of Bologna.
Veit Blauhut, Kerstin Stahl, James Howard Stagge, Lena M. Tallaksen, Lucia De Stefano, and Jürgen Vogt
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2779–2800, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2779-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2779-2016, 2016
Claus Davidsen, Suxia Liu, Xingguo Mo, Dan Rosbjerg, and Peter Bauer-Gottwein
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 771–785, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-771-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-771-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
In northern China, rivers run dry and groundwater tables drop, causing economic losses for all water use sectors. We present a groundwater-surface water allocation decision support tool for cost-effective long-term recovery of an overpumped aquifer. The tool is demonstrated for a part of the North China Plain and can support the implementation of the recent China No. 1 Document in a rational and economically efficient way.
H. Macian-Sorribes, M. Pulido-Velazquez, and A. Tilmant
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 3925–3935, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3925-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3925-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
One of the most promising alternatives to improve the efficiency in water usage is the implementation of scarcity-based pricing policies based on the opportunity cost of water at the basin scale. Time series of the marginal value of water at selected locations (reservoirs) are obtained using a stochastic hydro-economic model and then post-processed to define step water pricing policies.
C. Dong, Q. Tan, G.-H. Huang, and Y.-P. Cai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1793–1803, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1793-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1793-2014, 2014
F. Lombardo, E. Volpi, D. Koutsoyiannis, and S. M. Papalexiou
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 243–255, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-243-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-243-2014, 2014
B. M. C. Fischer, M. L. Mul, and H. H. G. Savenije
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2161–2170, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2161-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2161-2013, 2013
J. Lorenzo-Lacruz, E. Morán-Tejeda, S. M. Vicente-Serrano, and J. I. López-Moreno
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 119–134, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-119-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-119-2013, 2013
E. Baratti, A. Montanari, A. Castellarin, J. L. Salinas, A. Viglione, and A. Bezzi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 4651–4660, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4651-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4651-2012, 2012
J. E. Bremer and T. Harter
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2453–2467, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2453-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2453-2012, 2012
B. Khalil and J. Adamowski
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2253–2266, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2253-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2253-2012, 2012
W. J. Vanhaute, S. Vandenberghe, K. Scheerlinck, B. De Baets, and N. E. C. Verhoest
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 873–891, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-873-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-873-2012, 2012
H. Shang, J. Yan, M. Gebremichael, and S. M. Ayalew
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1937–1944, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1937-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1937-2011, 2011
Cited articles
Alley, W. M., Evenson, E. J., Barber, N. L., Bruce, B. W., Dennehy, K. F.,
Freeman, M. C., Freeman, W. O., Fischer, J. M., Hughes, W. B., Kennen, J. G.,
Kiang, J. E., Maloney, K. O., Musgrove, M., Ralston, B., Tessler, S., and
Verdin, J. P.: Progress toward establishing a national assessment of water
availability and use, Circular 1384, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia,
available at: https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1384 (last access: 5 November 2018), 2013. a
Archfield, S. A., Vogel, R. M., Steeves, P. A., Brandt, S. L., Weiskel, P. K.,
and Garabedian, S. P.: The Massachusetts Sustainable-Yield Estimator: A
decision-support tool to assess water availability at ungaged stream locations
in Massachusetts, Scientific Investigations Report 2009-5227, US Geological
Survey, Reston, Virginia, available at: https://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2009/5227/
(last access: 5 November 2018), 2010. a, b
Archfield, S. A., Steeves, P. A., Guthrie, J. D., and Ries III, K. G.: Towards
a publicly available, map-based regional software tool to estimate unregulated
daily streamflow at ungauged rivers, Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 101–115,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-101-2013, 2013. a, b
Blum, A. G., Archfield, S. A., and Vogel, R. M.: On the probability distribution
of daily streamflow in the United States, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21,
3093–3103, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3093-2017, 2017. a
Castellatin, A., Botter, G., Hughes, D., Liu, S., Ouarda, T., Parajka, J., Post,
D., Sivapalan, M., Spence, C., Viglione, A., and Vogel, R.: Prediction of
flow-duration curves in ungauged basins, in: Runoff Prediction in Ungauged
Basins: Synthesis Across Processes, Places and Scales, edited by: Blöschl,
G., Sivapalan, M., Wagener, T., Viglione, A., and Savenije, H., Cambridge
Univeristy Press, Cambridge, 2013. a, b, c
Eng, K., Chen, Y.-Y., and Kiang, J. E.: User's guide to the weighted-multiple-linear-regression
program (WREG version 1.0), Techniques and Methods 4-A8, US Geological Survey,
Reston, Virginia, available at: https://pubs.usgs.gov/tm/tm4a8/ (last access: 5 November 2018), 2009. a
Farmer, W. H.: Estimating records of daily streamflow at ungaged locations in
the southeast United States, Phd disertation, Tufts University, Tufts, 2015. a
Farmer, W. H. and Koltun, G.: Geospatial tools effectively estimate nonexceedance
probabilities of daily streamflow at ungauged and intermittently gauged
locations in Ohio, J. Hydrol.: Reg. Stud., 13, 208–221, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.08.006, 2017. a
Farmer, W. H. and Vogel, R. M.: On the deterministic and stochastic use of
hydrologic models, Water Resour. Res., 52, 5619–5633, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019129, 2016. a, b, c, d
Farmer, W. H., Archfield, S. A., Over, T. M., Hay, L. E., LaFontaine, J. H.,
and Kiang, J. E.: A comparison of methods to predict historical daily streamflow
time series in the southeastern United States, Scientific Investigations
Report 2014-5231, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20145231, 2014. a, b, c, d
Farmer, W. H., Knight, R. R., Eash, D. A., Hutchinson, K. J., Linhart, S. M.,
Christiansen, D. E., Archfield, S. A., Over, T. M., and Kiang, J. E.: Evaluation
of statistical and rainfall-runoff models for predicting historical daily
streamflow time series in the Des Moines and Iowa River watersheds, Scientific
Investigations Report 2015-5089, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20155089, 2015. a
Farmer, W. H., Over, T. M., and Kiang, J. E.: Bias correction of simulated
historical daily streamflow at ungauged locations by using independently
estimated flow-duration curves: Data release, Tech. rep., US Geological Survey,
Reston, Virginia, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7VD6XNG, 2018. a, b, c, d
Hrachowitz, M., Savenije, H., Blöschl, G., McDonnell, J., Sivapalan, M.,
Pomeroy, J., Arheimer, B., Blume, T., Clark, M., Ehret, U., Fenicia, F., Freer,
J., Gelfan, A., Gupta, H., Hughes, D., Hut, R., Montanari, A., Pande, S.,
Tetzlaff, D., Troch, P., Uhlenbrook, S., Wagener, T., Winsemius, H., Woods, R.,
Zehe, E., and Cudennec, C.: A decade of Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB) – a
review, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 58, 1198–1255, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.803183, 2013. a
Lichty, R. W. and Liscum, F.: A rainfall-runoff modeling procedure for improving
estimates of T-year (annual) floods for small drainage basins, Water Resources
Invesgations Report 78-7, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia,
https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/wri787 (last access: 5 November 2018), 1978. a
Mohamoud, Y. M.: Prediction of daily flow duration curves and streamflow for
ungauged catchments using regional flow duration curves, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 53,
706–724, https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.53.4.706, 2008. a
Over, T., Farmer, W., and Russell, A.: Refinement of a regression-based method
for prediction of flow-duration curves of daily streamflow in the conterminous
United States, Scientific Investigations Report 2018-5072, US Geological Survey,
Reston, Virginia, https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20185072, 2018. a, b, c, d
Parajka, J., Andréassian, V., Archfield, S., Bàrdossy, A., Blöschl,
G., Chiew, F., Duan, Q., Gelfan, A., Hlavcova, K., Merz, R., McIntyre, N.,
Oudin, L., Perrin, C., Rogger, M., Salinas, J., Savenije, H., Skøien, J.,
Wagener, T., Zehe, E., and Zhang, Y.: Prediction of runoff hydrographs in
ungauged basins, in: Runoff Prediction in Ungauged Basins: Synthesis Across
Processes, Places and Scales, edited by: Blöschl, G., Sivapalan, M.,
Wagener, T., Viglione, A., and Savenije, H., Cambridge Univeristy Press, Cambridge, 2013. a
Poncelet, C., Andréassian, V., Oudin, L., and Perrin, C.: The Quantile
Solidarity approach for the parsimonious regionalization of flow duration curves,
Hydrolog. Sci. J., 62, 1364–1380, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2017.1335399, 2017. a
Pugliese, A., Castellarin, A., and Brath, A.: Geostatistical prediction of
flow-duration curves in an index-flow framework, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18,
3801–3816, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3801-2014, 2014. a, b, c
Pugliese, A., Farmer, W. H., Castellarin, A., Archfield, S. A., and Vogel, R.
M.: Regional flow duration curves: Geostatistical techniques versus multivariate
regression, Adv. Water Resour., 96, 11–22, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.06.008, 2016. a, b, c
Pugliese, A., Persiano, S., Bagli, S., Mazzoli, P., Parajka, J., Arheimer, B.,
Capell, R., Montanari, A., Blöschl, G., and Castellarin, A.: A geostatistical
data-assimilation technique for enhancing macro-scale rainfall–runoff simulations,
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4633–4648, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4633-2018, 2018.
a, b, c, d, e
Rasmussen, T. J., Lee, C. J., and Ziegler, A. C.: Estimation of constituent
concentrations, loads, and yields in streams of Johnson County, northeast Kansas,
using continuous water-quality monitoring and regression models, October 2002
through December 2006, Scientific Investigations Report 2008-5014, US Geological
Survey, Reston, Virginia, https://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2008/5014/ (last access: 5 November 2018), 2008. a
Seaber, P. R., Kapanos, F. P., and Knapp, G. L.: Hydrologic Unit Maps, Water
Supply Paper 2294, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia, https://pubs.usgs.gov/wsp/wsp2294/
(last access: 5 November 2018), 1987. a
Sherwood, J. M.: Estimation of peak-frequency relations, flood hydrographs, and
volume-duration-frequency relations of ungaged small urban streams in Ohio,
Water-Supply Paper 2432, US Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia, https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/wsp2432
(last access: 5 November 2018), 1994. a
Shu, C. and Ouarda, T. B. M. J.: Improved methods for daily streamflow estimates
at ungauged sites, Water Resour. Res., 48, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011501, 2012. a, b, c
Sivapalan, M.: Prediction in ungauged basins: a grand challenge for theoretical
hydrology, Hydrol. Process., 17, 3163–3170, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5155, 2003. a
Sivapalan, M., Takeuchi, K., Franks, S. W., Gupta, V. K., Karambiri, H., Lakshmi,
V., Liang, X., McDonnell, J. J., Mendiondo, E. M., O'Connell, P. E., Oki, T.,
Pomeroy, J. W., Schertzer, D., Uhlenbrook, S., and Zehe, E.: IAHS Decade on
Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB), 2003–2012: Shaping an exciting future
for the hydrological sciences, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 48, 857–880,
https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.48.6.857.51421, 2003. a
Skøien, J. O. and Blöschl, G.: Spatiotemporal topological kriging of
runoff time series, Water Resour. Res., 43, 1–21, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR005760, 2007. a
Smakhtin, V.: Generation of natural daily flow time-series in regulated rivers
using a non-linear spatial interpolation technique, Regulat. Rivers Res. Manage.,
15, 311–323, https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1646(199907/08)15:4<311::AID-RRR544>3.0.CO;2-W, 1999. a
Thomas, W. O.: An evaluation of flood frequency estimates based on runoff
modeling, J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc., 18, 221–229, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1982.tb03964.x, 1982. a
Tobin, J.: Estimation of Relationships for Limited Dependent Variables,
Econometrica, 26, 24–36, https://doi.org/10.2307/1907382, 1958. a
Wilcoxon, F.: Individual Comparisons by Ranking Methods, Biometrics Bulletin,
1, 80–83, https://doi.org/10.2307/3001968, 1945. a
Short summary
This work observes that the result of streamflow simulation is often biased, especially with regards to extreme events, and proposes a novel technique to reduce this bias. By using parallel simulations of relative streamflow timing (sequencing) and the distribution of streamflow (magnitude), severe biases can be mitigated. Reducing this bias allows for improved utility of streamflow simulation for water resources management.
This work observes that the result of streamflow simulation is often biased, especially with...