Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3651–3672, 2016

Special issue: HYPER Droughts (HYdrological Precipitation – Evaporation...

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3651–3672, 2016
Research article
08 Sep 2016
Research article | 08 Sep 2016

Hierarchy of climate and hydrological uncertainties in transient low-flow projections

Jean-Philippe Vidal et al.

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Cited articles

Addor, N., Rössler, O., Köplin, N., Huss, M., Weingartner, R., and Seibert, J.: Robust changes and sources of uncertainty in the projected hydrological regimes of Swiss catchments, Water Resour. Res., 50, 7541–7562,, 2014.
Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop Evapotranspiration – Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56, FAO, 1998.
Barria, P., Walsh, K. J. E., Peel, M. C., and Karoly, D.: Uncertainties in runoff projections in southwestern Australian catchments using a global climate model with perturbed physics, J. Hydrol., 529, 184–199,, 2015.
Boé, J., Terray, L., Habets, F., and Martin, E.: A simple statistical-dynamical downscaling scheme based on weather types and conditional resampling, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D23106,, 2006.
Boé, J., Terray, L., Martin, E., and Habets, F.: Projected changes in components of the hydrological cycle in French river basins during the 21st century, Water Resour. Res., 45, W08426,, 2009.
Short summary
Possible transient futures of winter and summer low flows for two snow-influenced catchments in the southern French Alps show a strong decrease signal. It is however largely masked by the year-to-year variability, which should be the main target for defining adaptation strategies. Responses of different hydrological models strongly diverge in the future, suggesting to carefully check the robustness of evapotranspiration and snowpack components under a changing climate.