Articles | Volume 27, issue 12
Research article
30 Jun 2023
Research article |  | 30 Jun 2023

Producing reliable hydrologic scenarios from raw climate model outputs without resorting to meteorological observations

Simon Ricard, Philippe Lucas-Picher, Antoine Thiboult, and François Anctil

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Producing hydrologic scenarios from raw climate model outputs using an asynchronous modelling framework
Simon Ricard, Philippe Lucas-Picher, and François Anctil
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,,, 2021
Revised manuscript not accepted
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Subject: Catchment hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
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Cited articles

Ahn, K. H. and Kim, Y. O.: Incorporating climate model similarities and hydrologic error models to quantify climate change impacts on future riverine flood risk, J. Hydrol., 570, 118–131,, 2019. 
Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Dottori, F., and Bianchi, A.: Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios, Global Environ. Chang., 35, 199–212,, 2015a. 
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Feyen, L., and Forzieri, G.: Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2247–2260,, 2015b. 
Bergeron, O.: Grilles climatiques quotidiennes du Programme de surveillance du climat du Québec, version 1.2 – Guide d'utilisation, ministère de l'Environnement et de la Lutte contre les changements climatiques, Québec, Qc., 33 pp., ISBN 978-2-550-73568-7, 2015. 
Bergström, S. and Forsman, A.: Development of a conceptual deterministic rainfall-runoff model, Nord. Hydrol., 4, 147–170, 1973. 
Short summary
A simplified hydroclimatic modelling workflow is proposed to quantify the impact of climate change on water discharge without resorting to meteorological observations. Results confirm that the proposed workflow produces equivalent projections of the seasonal mean flows in comparison to a conventional hydroclimatic modelling approach. The proposed approach supports the participation of end-users in interpreting the impact of climate change on water resources.