Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6043–6057, 2018
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6043–6057, 2018

Research article 27 Nov 2018

Research article | 27 Nov 2018

A simple tool for refining GCM water availability projections, applied to Chinese catchments

Joe M. Osborne and F. Hugo Lambert

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Short summary
We want to estimate how much water will be available in a river basin (runoff) at the end of the 21st century. Climate models alone are considered unsuitable for this task due to biases in representing the present-day climate. We show that the output from these models can be corrected using a simple mathematical framework. This approach narrows the range of future runoff projections for the Yellow river in China by 34 %. It serves as a quick tool for updating projections from climate models.