Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6043-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6043-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
Research article
 | 
27 Nov 2018
Research article |  | 27 Nov 2018

A simple tool for refining GCM water availability projections, applied to Chinese catchments

Joe M. Osborne and F. Hugo Lambert

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Latest update: 16 Aug 2024
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Short summary
We want to estimate how much water will be available in a river basin (runoff) at the end of the 21st century. Climate models alone are considered unsuitable for this task due to biases in representing the present-day climate. We show that the output from these models can be corrected using a simple mathematical framework. This approach narrows the range of future runoff projections for the Yellow river in China by 34 %. It serves as a quick tool for updating projections from climate models.
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