Articles | Volume 30, issue 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5297-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5297-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Lake Victoria to the Sudd Wetland: flood wave timing, connectivity and wetland buffering across the White Nile
Douglas Mulangwa
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
Department of Water Resources Monitoring and Assessment, Ministry of Water and Environment, Kampala, Uganda
Evet Naturinda
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
Charles Koboji
Directorate of Hydrology and Survey, Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation, Juba, South Sudan
Benon T. Zaake
Department of Water Resources Monitoring and Assessment, Ministry of Water and Environment, Kampala, Uganda
Emily Black
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, UK
Hannah Cloke
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Elisabeth M. Stephens
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, 2521 CV, the Netherlands
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Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 343–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026, 2026
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Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
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Meteotsunami are the result of atmospheric disturbances and can impact coastlines causing injury, loss of life, and damage to assets. This paper introduces a novel intensity index to allow for the quantification of these events at the shoreline. This has the potential to assist in the field of natural hazard assessment. It was trialled in the UK but designed for global applicability and to become a widely accepted standard in coastal planning, meteotsunami forecasting, and early warning systems.
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Meteotsunami are globally occurring water waves initiated by atmospheric disturbances. Previous research has suggested that in the UK, meteotsunami are a rare phenomenon and tend to occur in the summer months. This article presents a revised and updated catalogue of 98 meteotsunami that occurred between 1750 and 2022. Results also demonstrate a larger percentage of winter events and a geographical pattern highlighting the
hotspotregions that experience these events.
Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Hannah Cloke, Peter Salamon, and Christel Prudhomme
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Real-time river discharge forecasts and reforecasts from the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) have been made publicly available, together with an evaluation of forecast skill at the global scale. Results show that GloFAS is skillful in over 93 % of catchments in the short (1–3 d) and medium range (5–15 d) and skillful in over 80 % of catchments in the extended lead time (16–30 d). Skill is summarised in a new layer on the GloFAS Web Map Viewer to aid decision-making.
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The European Flood Awareness System creates flood forecasts for up to 15 d in the future for the whole of Europe which are made available to local authorities. These forecasts can be erroneous because the weather forecasts include errors or because the hydrological model used does not represent the flow in the rivers correctly. We found that, by using recent observations and a model trained with past observations and forecasts, the real-time forecast can be corrected, thus becoming more useful.
Chloe Brimicombe, Claudia Di Napoli, Rosalind Cornforth, Florian Pappenberger, Celia Petty, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-242, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-242, 2021
Revised manuscript not accepted
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Heatwaves are an increasing risk to African communities. This hazard can have a negative impact on peoples lives and in some cases results in their death. This study shows new information about heatwave characteristics through a list of heatwave events that have been reported for the African continent from 1980 until 2020. Case studies are useful helps to inform the development of early warning systems and forecasting, which is an urgent priority and needs significant improvement.
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Short summary
This study traced how water moved from Lake Victoria to the Sudd wetlands to explain the prolonged flooding in South Sudan between 2019 and 2024. Using satellite observations, rainfall records, and lake and river measurements, we found that water takes about 17 months to travel through the system, much longer than previously assumed 5 months. The results show that lakes and wetlands can store and slowly release water over several years, helping improve flood forecasting and early warning.
This study traced how water moved from Lake Victoria to the Sudd wetlands to explain...