Articles | Volume 26, issue 2
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 245–263, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-245-2022
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 245–263, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-245-2022
Research article
18 Jan 2022
Research article | 18 Jan 2022

Disentangling sources of future uncertainties for water management in sub-Saharan river basins

Alessandro Amaranto et al.

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Cited articles

Amaranto, A., Pianosi, F., Solomatine, D., Corzo, G., and Munoz-Arriola, F.: Sensitivity analysis of data-driven groundwater forecasts to hydroclimatic controls in irrigated croplands, J. Hydrol., 587, 124957, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124957, 2020. a, b
Amaranto, A.: Data from: Disentangling sources of future uncertainties for water management in sub-Saharan river basins [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5841294, 2022a a
Amaranto, A.: Codes from: Disentangling sources of future uncertainties for water management in sub-Saharan river basins [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5841224, 2022b a
Bertoni, F., Castelletti, A., Giuliani, M., and Reed, P.: Discovering Dependencies, Trade-offs, and Robustness in Joint Dam Design and Operation: An Ex-post Assessment of the Kariba Dam, Earth's Future, 7, 1367–1390, 2019. a
Beven, K. and Binley, A.: The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction, Hydrol. Process., 6, 279–298, 1992. a, b
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Short summary
This study aims at designing water supply strategies that are robust against climate, social, and land use changes in a sub-Saharan river basin. We found that robustness analysis supports the discovery of policies enhancing the resilience of water resources systems, benefiting the agricultural, energy, and urban sectors. We show how energy sustainability is affected by water availability, while urban and irrigation resilience also depends on infrastructural interventions and land use changes.