Articles | Volume 26, issue 9
Research article
11 May 2022
Research article |  | 11 May 2022

The importance of non-stationary multiannual periodicities in the North Atlantic Oscillation index for forecasting water resource drought

William Rust, John P. Bloomfield, Mark Cuthbert, Ron Corstanje, and Ian Holman


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on hess-2021-572', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Jan 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', William Rust, 05 Mar 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on hess-2021-572', Neil Macdonald, 27 Jan 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', William Rust, 05 Mar 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (18 Mar 2022) by Yi He
AR by William Rust on behalf of the Authors (28 Mar 2022)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (12 Apr 2022) by Yi He
Short summary
We highlight the importance of the North Atlantic Oscillation in controlling droughts in the UK. Specifically, multi-year cycles in the NAO are shown to influence the frequency of droughts and this influence changes considerably over time. We show that the influence of these varying controls is similar to the projected effects of climate change on water resources. We also show that these time-varying behaviours have important implications for water resource forecasts used for drought planning.