Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1189–1209, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1189-2021
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1189–1209, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1189-2021

Research article 08 Mar 2021

Research article | 08 Mar 2021

Benchmarking an operational hydrological model for providing seasonal forecasts in Sweden

Marc Girons Lopez et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (06 Jan 2021) by Jim Freer
AR by Marc Girons Lopez on behalf of the Authors (13 Jan 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 Jan 2021) by Jim Freer
AR by Marc Girons Lopez on behalf of the Authors (21 Jan 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (29 Jan 2021) by Jim Freer
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Short summary
The Swedish hydrological warning service is extending its use of seasonal forecasts, which requires an analysis of the available methods. We evaluate the simple ESP method and find out how and why forecasts vary in time and space. We find that forecasts are useful up to 3 months into the future, especially during winter and in northern Sweden. They tend to be good in slow-reacting catchments and bad in flashy and highly regulated ones. We finally link them with areas of similar behaviour.