Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5273-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5273-2017
Research article
 | 
19 Oct 2017
Research article |  | 19 Oct 2017

Performance of ensemble streamflow forecasts under varied hydrometeorological conditions

Harm-Jan F. Benninga, Martijn J. Booij, Renata J. Romanowicz, and Tom H. M. Rientjes

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Cited articles

Akhtar, M., Ahmad, N., and Booij, M. J.: Use of regional climate model simulations as input for hydrological models for the Hindukush-Karakorum-Himalaya region, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 1075–1089, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-1075-2009, 2009.
Alfieri, L., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Haiden, T., Richardson, D., and Salamon, P.: Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe, J. Hydrol., 517, 913–922, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.035, 2014.
Bennett, J. C., Robertson, D. E., Shrestha, D. L., and Wang, Q. J.: Selecting reference streamflow forecasts to demonstrate the performance of NWP-forced streamflow forecasts, in: MODSIM 2013, 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, edited by: Piantadosi, J., Anderssen, R. S., and Boland, J., Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, Adelaide, Australia, 1–6 December 2013, available at: http://www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2013/L8/bennett.pdf (last access: 9 October 2017), 2013.
Bennett, J. C., Robertson, D. E., Shrestha, D. L., Wang, Q. J., Enever, D., Hapuarachchi, P., and Tuteja, N. K.: A System for Continuous Hydrological Ensemble Forecasting (SCHEF) to lead times of 9 days, J. Hydrol., 519, 2832–2846, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.08.010, 2014.
Boé, J., Terray, L., Habets, F., and Martin, E.: Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1643–1655, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1602, 2007.
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Accurate flood and low-streamflow forecasting are important. The paper presents a methodology to evaluate ensemble streamflow-forecasting systems for different lead times; low, medium and high streamflow; and related runoff-generating processes. We applied the methodology to a study forecasting system of the Biała Tarnowska River in Poland. The results provide valuable information about the forecasting system: in which conditions it can be used and how the system can be improved effectively.