Articles | Volume 29, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6647-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6647-2025
Research article
 | 
24 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 24 Nov 2025

Robust adaptive pathways for long-term flood control in delta cities: addressing pluvial flood risks under future deep uncertainty

Hengzhi Hu, Qian Ke, Wei Wu, Min Zhang, Yanjuan Wu, Chengming Jin, and Jiahong Wen

Data sets

Extreme rain scenario and future uncertainties Hengzhi Hu https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.30570743.v1

Model code and software

SCS model, PRIM, and Multi-criteria trade-off Hengzhi Hu https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.24899340.v2

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Short summary
This study proposes a framework combining robustness and adaptiveness for long-term flood planning. Applied to Shanghai, it shows that the most cost-effective option may not meet long-term goals, and a combination of green spaces, drainage, and tunnels outperforms alternative options. The findings emphasize that flexibility and adaptability are critical for developing robust, long-term adaptation pathways and minimizing future risks in other urban areas.
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