Articles | Volume 29, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Mar 2025
Research article |
| 17 Mar 2025
| 17 Mar 2025
Exploring the value of seasonal flow forecasts for drought management in South Korea
Yongshin Lee
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Civil, Aerospace and Design Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, United Kingdom
Andres Peñuela
Department of Agronomy, Unidad de Excelencia María de Maeztu, University of Cordoba, 14071 Cordoba, Spain
Francesca Pianosi
School of Civil, Aerospace and Design Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, United Kingdom
Miguel Angel Rico-Ramirez
School of Civil, Aerospace and Design Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, United Kingdom
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Short summary
This study assesses the value of seasonal flow forecasts (SFFs) in informing decision-making for drought management in South Korea and introduces a novel method for assessing values benchmarked against historical operations. Our results showed the importance of considering flow forecast uncertainty in reservoir operations. There was no significant correlation between the forecast accuracy and value. The method for selecting a compromise release schedule was a key control of the value.
This study assesses the value of seasonal flow forecasts (SFFs) in informing decision-making for...
