Articles | Volume 29, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
Research article
 | 
17 Mar 2025
Research article |  | 17 Mar 2025

Exploring the value of seasonal flow forecasts for drought management in South Korea

Yongshin Lee, Andres Peñuela, Francesca Pianosi, and Miguel Angel Rico-Ramirez

Model code and software

iRONS (interactive Reservoir Operation Notebooks and Software) A. Peñuela and F. Pianosi https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4277645

SEAFORM University of Bristol https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12800811

SEAFLOW University of Bristol https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12800917

Short summary
This study assesses the value of seasonal flow forecasts (SFFs) in informing decision-making for drought management in South Korea and introduces a novel method for assessing values benchmarked against historical operations. Our results showed the importance of considering flow forecast uncertainty in reservoir operations. There was no significant correlation between the forecast accuracy and value. The method for selecting a compromise release schedule was a key control of the value.
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