Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2923-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2923-2022
Research article
 | 
14 Jun 2022
Research article |  | 14 Jun 2022

Quantifying the uncertainty of precipitation forecasting using probabilistic deep learning

Lei Xu, Nengcheng Chen, Chao Yang, Hongchu Yu, and Zeqiang Chen

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on hess-2021-432', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Sep 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on hess-2021-432', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Jan 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (16 Mar 2022) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by CHAO YANG on behalf of the Authors (08 Apr 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Apr 2022) by Yue-Ping Xu
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Apr 2022)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (16 May 2022)
ED: Publish as is (23 May 2022) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by CHAO YANG on behalf of the Authors (24 May 2022)
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Short summary
Precipitation forecasting has potential uncertainty due to data and model uncertainties. Here, an integrated predictive uncertainty modeling framework is proposed by jointly considering data and model uncertainties through an uncertainty propagation theorem. The results indicate an effective predictive uncertainty estimation for precipitation forecasting, indicating the great potential for uncertainty quantification of numerous predictive applications.