Extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods

Wang, Shanshan; Yuan, Xing

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018

Articles | Volume 22, issue 8

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 22, issue 8

Research article

|

07 Aug 2018

Research article |

| 07 Aug 2018

Extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods

Shanshan Wang and Xing Yuan

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Final revised paper (published on 07 Aug 2018)
Preprint (discussion started on 28 Mar 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of Wang and Yuan Article', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Apr 2018
- AC1: 'Responses to comments from Referee #1', Xing Yuan, 18 May 2018
RC2: 'comments', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Apr 2018
- AC2: 'Responses to comments from Referee #2', Xing Yuan, 18 May 2018
RC3: 'Review of Wang and Yuan', Anonymous Referee #3, 22 May 2018
- AC3: 'Responses to comments from Referee #3', Xing Yuan, 22 May 2018
- AC4: 'Responses to comments from Referee #3', Xing Yuan, 30 May 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (16 Jun 2018) by Shraddhanand Shukla

AR by Xing Yuan on behalf of the Authors (17 Jun 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (29 Jun 2018) by Shraddhanand Shukla

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (09 Jul 2018)

RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (11 Jul 2018)

ED: Publish as is (20 Jul 2018) by Shraddhanand Shukla

AR by Xing Yuan on behalf of the Authors (21 Jul 2018)

Short summary

Long-range flood forecast is very challenging over monsoonal regions. We investigate the potential of extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods by using atmospheric moisture flux prediction with a perfect model assumption. The finding suggests a potential to use atmospheric moisture flux which is more predictable than precipitation at the seasonal timescale, to improve flood forecasting and early warning, especially during post-El Niño summers.