Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4201-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
Research article
 | 
07 Aug 2018
Research article |  | 07 Aug 2018

Extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods

Shanshan Wang and Xing Yuan

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Short summary
Long-range flood forecast is very challenging over monsoonal regions. We investigate the potential of extending seasonal predictability of Yangtze River summer floods by using atmospheric moisture flux prediction with a perfect model assumption. The finding suggests a potential to use atmospheric moisture flux which is more predictable than precipitation at the seasonal timescale, to improve flood forecasting and early warning, especially during post-El Niño summers.
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