Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 4913–4931, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4913-2014
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 4913–4931, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4913-2014

Research article 08 Dec 2014

Research article | 08 Dec 2014

Derivation and evaluation of landslide-triggering thresholds by a Monte Carlo approach

D. J. Peres and A. Cancelliere

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (30 Jun 2014) by Thom Bogaard
AR by David J. Peres on behalf of the Authors (11 Aug 2014)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (15 Aug 2014) by Thom Bogaard
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (20 Oct 2014)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 Oct 2014) by Thom Bogaard
AR by David J. Peres on behalf of the Authors (28 Oct 2014)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
A Monte Carlo approach, combining rainfall-stochastic models and hydrological and slope stability physically based models, is used to derive rainfall thresholds of landslide triggering. The uncertainty in threshold assessment related to variability of rainfall intensity within events and to past rainfall (antecedent rainfall) is analyzed and measured via ROC-based indexes, with a specific focus dedicated to the widely used power-law rainfall intensity-duration (I-D) thresholds.