Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4913-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4913-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Derivation and evaluation of landslide-triggering thresholds by a Monte Carlo approach
Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Catania, Catania, Italy
A. Cancelliere
Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Catania, Catania, Italy
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- Physically based and distributed rainfall intensity and duration thresholds for shallow landslides R. Marin 10.1007/s10346-020-01481-9
- Multi‐decadal changes in the relationships between rainfall characteristics and debris‐flow occurrences in response to gully evolution after the 1990–1995 Mount Unzen eruptions H. Tsunetaka et al. 10.1002/esp.5148
- Deciphering seasonal effects of triggering and preparatory precipitation for improved shallow landslide prediction using generalized additive mixed models S. Steger et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1483-2023
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- Estimating the daily rainfall thresholds of regional debris flows in the Bailong River Basin, China Y. Zhao et al. 10.1007/s10064-023-03068-9
- A survey of analytical methods for inclusion in a new energy-water nexus knowledge discovery framework M. Allen et al. 10.1080/20964471.2018.1524344
- A physics-based model to derive rainfall intensity-duration threshold for debris flow S. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.106930
- Predicting storm-triggered debris flow events: application to the 2009 Ionian Peloritan disaster (Sicily, Italy) M. Cama et al. 10.5194/nhess-15-1785-2015
- Landslide hydrology: from hydrology to pore pressure T. Bogaard & R. Greco 10.1002/wat2.1126
- Definition and performance of a threshold-based regional early warning model for rainfall-induced landslides L. Piciullo et al. 10.1007/s10346-016-0750-2
- Rainfall Induced Shallow Landslide Temporal Probability Modelling and Early Warning Research in Mountains Areas: A Case Study of Qin-Ba Mountains, Western China Y. Song et al. 10.3390/rs14235952
- A review of the recent literature on rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence S. Segoni et al. 10.1007/s10346-018-0966-4
- Soil moisture information can improve shallow landslide forecasting using the hydrometeorological threshold approach P. Marino et al. 10.1007/s10346-020-01420-8
- Worry about Climate Change and Urban Flooding Risk Preparedness in Southern Italy: A Survey in the Simeto River Valley (Sicily, Italy) P. Nanni et al. 10.3390/resources10030025
- Variation in rainfall patterns triggering debris flow in the initiation zone of the Ichino-sawa torrent, Ohya landslide, Japan H. Tsunetaka et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107529
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- A combined triggering-propagation modeling approach for the assessment of rainfall induced debris flow susceptibility L. Stancanelli et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.04.038
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Short summary
A Monte Carlo approach, combining rainfall-stochastic models and hydrological and slope stability physically based models, is used to derive rainfall thresholds of landslide triggering. The uncertainty in threshold assessment related to variability of rainfall intensity within events and to past rainfall (antecedent rainfall) is analyzed and measured via ROC-based indexes, with a specific focus dedicated to the widely used power-law rainfall intensity-duration (I-D) thresholds.
A Monte Carlo approach, combining rainfall-stochastic models and hydrological and slope...