Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 30, issue 18
Articles | Volume 30, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5873-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5873-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 18
Research article
 | 
16 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 16 Sep 2026

Assessing the stability of LSTM runoff projections in Switzerland under climate scenarios

Fabien Courvoisier, Basil Kraft, Yann Yasser Haddad, Massimiliano Zappa, and Lukas Gudmundsson

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Short summary
Climate change strongly modifies runoff in alpine regions like Switzerland, altering water supply and affecting both human sectors and natural ecosystems. We test whether a model that learns only from past observations can credibly project future runoff under climate scenarios. It captures major expected shifts and reveals known limits for extremes. Its speed and ability to generalize across catchments make it a promising tool for assessing climate impacts on water resources.
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