Articles | Volume 30, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-3945-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-3945-2026
Research article
 | 
29 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 29 Jun 2026

Comparing multi-model mosaic and multi-model combination methods to simulate streamflow across the contiguous USA

Cyril Thébault, Wouter J. M. Knoben, Nans Addor, Andrew J. Newman, Diana Spieler, Nicolás A. Vásquez, Yalan Song, Gaby J. Gründemann, Shaun Carney, Mukesh Kumar, Katie van Werkhoven, Chaopeng Shen, Andrew W. Wood, and Martyn P. Clark

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6083', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Cyril Thébault, 15 Apr 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6083', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Mar 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Cyril Thébault, 15 Apr 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (16 Apr 2026) by Hilary McMillan
AR by Cyril Thébault on behalf of the Authors (24 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (28 May 2026) by Hilary McMillan
AR by Cyril Thébault on behalf of the Authors (02 Jun 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Reliable river flow prediction guide water supply planning and flood protection. We tested whether selecting or combining multiple models improves accuracy compared with a single model. 78 models were used and tested in 559 river basins across the United States. A carefully chosen single model nearly matched more complex multi-model approaches, while combining models gave slightly higher accuracy and lower uncertainty. However, no approach worked best everywhere.
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