Articles | Volume 30, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-3623-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-3623-2026
Research article
 | 
15 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 15 Jun 2026

Which strategy to improve the performances of an LSTM-based model for extreme stream temperature values?

Mohamed Saadi, Louis Guichard, Gabrielle Cognot, Laurent Labbouz, and Hélène Roux

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Cited articles

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Armstrong, J. B., Fullerton, A. H., Jordan, C. E., Ebersole, J. L., Bellmore, J. R., Arismendi, I., Penaluna, B. E., and Reeves, G. H.: The importance of warm habitat to the growth regime of cold-water fishes, Nat. Clim. Change, 11, 354–361, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-00994-y, 2021. 
Arora, R., Tockner, K., and Venohr, M.: Changing river temperatures in northern Germany: trends and drivers of change, Hydrol. Process., 30, 3084–3096, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10849, 2016. 
Arsenault, R., Martel, J.-L., Brunet, F., Brissette, F., and Mai, J.: Continuous streamflow prediction in ungauged basins: long short-term memory neural networks clearly outperform traditional hydrological models, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 139–157, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-139-2023, 2023. 
Audouy, J.-N., Pitsch, S., Renard, B., and Chaleon, C.: Statistiques hydrologiques en crue: de la Banque HYDRO à l'HydroPortail, LHB, 110, 2317798, https://doi.org/10.1080/27678490.2024.2317798, 2024. 
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Short summary
LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks are excellent deep-learning tools to reproduce stream temperature observations, but their performances over the range of extreme (summer) stream temperature values have been overlooked. We tested strategies to improve the LSTM performances over the highest 10 % values of stream temperature observations. We found that the best strategy is to train the LSTM models at several locations with input variables that include static, catchment and reach attributes.
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