Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
Research article
 | 
29 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 29 Sep 2025

Skilful seasonal streamflow forecasting using a fully coupled global climate model

Gabriel Fernando Narváez-Campo and Constantin Ardilouze

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Latest update: 22 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We demonstrate the capability of a global operational system to predict seasonal river discharges by accounting for interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and rivers. The fully coupled approach introduces a convenient single-step workflow, allowing the simultaneous production of atmospheric and streamflow forecasts. Overall, the approach outperforms the classical ensemble streamflow prediction approach, providing insight into the next-generation hydrological forecasting systems.
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