Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.Skilful seasonal streamflow forecasting using a fully coupled global climate model
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- Final revised paper (published on 29 Sep 2025)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 17 Dec 2024)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2962', Anonymous Referee #1, 24 Jan 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Gabriel Narváez, 26 Feb 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2962', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Feb 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Gabriel Narváez, 26 Feb 2025
Peer review completion
AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (04 Apr 2025) by Micha Werner

AR by Gabriel Narváez on behalf of the Authors (23 Apr 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 May 2025) by Micha Werner
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (09 Jun 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Jun 2025)

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (30 Jun 2025) by Micha Werner

AR by Gabriel Narváez on behalf of the Authors (04 Jul 2025)
Author's response
Manuscript
This manuscript assesses the skill of the seasonal streamflow forecast derived from the
operational forecast system SYS8, based on CNRM-CM6-1. This model incorporates an advanced river routing model that interacts with the land and atmosphere via surface/sub-surface runoff, aquifer exchange and open water evaporation to predict river streamflow. Results show that the coupled forecast system is more skillful than the ESP in predicting streamflow for the summer and winter seasons. The manuscript particularly emphasizes the enhanced land water storage initial conditions, especially in summer and in large basins where the low-flow response is influenced by soil water storage. This manuscript demonstrates the potential to utilise direct global streamflow forecasts issued by a global climate model fully coupled with a river-floodplain model, and shows the capacity of an operational seasonal forecast system based on a General Circulation Model to deliver relevant streamflow predictions. I have a few comments below.