Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4437-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4437-2025
Research article
 | 
17 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 17 Sep 2025

Combining recurrent neural networks with variational mode decomposition and multifractals to predict rainfall time series

Hai Zhou, Daniel Schertzer, and Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2710', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Feb 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Hai Zhou, 11 Mar 2024
  • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Hai Zhou, 11 Mar 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2710', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Apr 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Hai Zhou, 01 May 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (11 Jul 2024) by Pierre Gentine
AR by Hai Zhou on behalf of the Authors (06 Sep 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Feb 2025) by Thom Bogaard
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (21 Mar 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (30 Apr 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Jun 2025) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Hai Zhou on behalf of the Authors (23 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (07 Jul 2025) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Hai Zhou on behalf of the Authors (11 Jul 2025)
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Short summary
The hybrid variational mode decomposition–recurrent neural network (VMD-RNN) model provides a reliable one-step-ahead prediction, with better performance in predicting high and low values than the pure long short-term memory (LSTM) model. The universal multifractal technique is also introduced to evaluate prediction performance, thus validating the usefulness and applicability of the hybrid model.
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