Articles | Volume 28, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024
Research article
 | 
27 Mar 2024
Research article |  | 27 Mar 2024

Potential for historically unprecedented Australian droughts from natural variability and climate change

Georgina M. Falster, Nicky M. Wright, Nerilie J. Abram, Anna M. Ukkola, and Benjamin J. Henley

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (28 Oct 2023) by Elena Toth
AR by Georgina Falster on behalf of the Authors (07 Dec 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Dec 2023) by Elena Toth
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Jan 2024)
ED: Publish as is (05 Feb 2024) by Elena Toth
ED: Publish as is (05 Feb 2024) by Giuliano Di Baldassarre (Executive editor)
AR by Georgina Falster on behalf of the Authors (15 Feb 2024)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Multi-year droughts have severe environmental and economic impacts, but the instrumental record is too short to characterise multi-year drought variability. We assessed the nature of Australian multi-year droughts using simulations of the past millennium from 11 climate models. We show that multi-decadal megadroughts are a natural feature of the Australian hydroclimate. Human-caused climate change is also driving a tendency towards longer droughts in eastern and southwestern Australia.