Articles | Volume 27, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index
Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Timothy J. Osborn
Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Water Security Research Centre, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Nans Addor
Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Geoff Darch
Anglian Water Ltd., Huntingdon, UK
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Altitudinal Differentiation of Forest Resilience to Drought in a Dryland Mountain J. Li et al. 10.3390/f14071284
- Multi-criteria assessment of factors affecting the reduction of retention capacity of dam reservoirs Ł. Pieron et al. 10.1525/elementa.2023.00069
- Drought index time series forecasting via three-in-one machine learning concept for the Euphrates basin L. Latifoğlu et al. 10.1007/s12145-024-01471-8
- Drought intensification in Brazilian catchments: implications for water and land management A. Ballarin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3e18
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy 10.1002/joc.8217
- Drought risk assessment on arid region under different socioeconomic scenarios: A case of Loess Plateau, China J. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112728
- Projected changes in compound hot-dry events depend on the dry indicator considered P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01352-4
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074
- Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on Future Unprecedented Droughts in California: Insights From Multiple Indices and Multi‐Model Projections Z. Zhou et al. 10.1029/2023EF003856
- Remotely Sensed Comparative Spatiotemporal Analysis of Drought and Wet Periods in Distinct Mediterranean Agroecosystems S. Sakellariou et al. 10.3390/rs16193652
- Analyzing the uncertainty of potential evapotranspiration models in drought projections derived for a semi-arid watershed U. Okkan et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04817-2
- Focal-TSMP: deep learning for vegetation health prediction and agricultural drought assessment from a regional climate simulation M. Shams Eddin & J. Gall 10.5194/gmd-17-2987-2024
- Propagation and Characteristics of Hydrometeorological Drought Under Changing Climate in Irish Catchments H. Meresa et al. 10.1029/2022JD038025
- Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index N. Reyniers et al. 10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023
- Assessment of Artificial Neural Network through Drought Indices S. Doshi et al. 10.3390/eng4010003
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Altitudinal Differentiation of Forest Resilience to Drought in a Dryland Mountain J. Li et al. 10.3390/f14071284
- Multi-criteria assessment of factors affecting the reduction of retention capacity of dam reservoirs Ł. Pieron et al. 10.1525/elementa.2023.00069
- Drought index time series forecasting via three-in-one machine learning concept for the Euphrates basin L. Latifoğlu et al. 10.1007/s12145-024-01471-8
- Drought intensification in Brazilian catchments: implications for water and land management A. Ballarin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3e18
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy 10.1002/joc.8217
- Drought risk assessment on arid region under different socioeconomic scenarios: A case of Loess Plateau, China J. Guo et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112728
- Projected changes in compound hot-dry events depend on the dry indicator considered P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01352-4
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074
- Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on Future Unprecedented Droughts in California: Insights From Multiple Indices and Multi‐Model Projections Z. Zhou et al. 10.1029/2023EF003856
- Remotely Sensed Comparative Spatiotemporal Analysis of Drought and Wet Periods in Distinct Mediterranean Agroecosystems S. Sakellariou et al. 10.3390/rs16193652
- Analyzing the uncertainty of potential evapotranspiration models in drought projections derived for a semi-arid watershed U. Okkan et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04817-2
- Focal-TSMP: deep learning for vegetation health prediction and agricultural drought assessment from a regional climate simulation M. Shams Eddin & J. Gall 10.5194/gmd-17-2987-2024
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Propagation and Characteristics of Hydrometeorological Drought Under Changing Climate in Irish Catchments H. Meresa et al. 10.1029/2022JD038025
- Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index N. Reyniers et al. 10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023
- Assessment of Artificial Neural Network through Drought Indices S. Doshi et al. 10.3390/eng4010003
Latest update: 19 Nov 2024
Short summary
In an analysis of future drought projections for Great Britain based on the Standardised Precipitation Index and the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, we show that the choice of drought indicator has a decisive influence on the resulting projected changes in drought characteristics, although both result in increased drying. This highlights the need to understand the interplay between increasing atmospheric evaporative demand and drought impacts under a changing climate.
In an analysis of future drought projections for Great Britain based on the Standardised...