Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 20
Articles | Volume 26, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5241-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5241-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 20
Research article
 | 
20 Oct 2022
Research article |  | 20 Oct 2022

A storm-centered multivariate modeling of extreme precipitation frequency based on atmospheric water balance

Yuan Liu and Daniel B. Wright

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Short summary
We present a new approach to estimate extreme rainfall probability and severity using the atmospheric water balance, where precipitation is the sum of water vapor components moving in and out of a storm. We apply our method to the Mississippi Basin and its five major subbasins. Our approach achieves a good fit to reference precipitation, indicating that the rainfall probability estimation can benefit from additional information from physical processes that control rainfall.
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