Articles | Volume 26, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4801-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4801-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia
Hapu Arachchige Prasantha Hapuarachchi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
Mohammed Abdul Bari
Bureau of Meteorology, 1 Ord Street, West Perth, WA 6005, Australia
Aynul Kabir
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
Mohammad Mahadi Hasan
Bureau of Meteorology, The Treasury Building, Parkes Place West,
Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia
Fitsum Markos Woldemeskel
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
Nilantha Gamage
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
Patrick Daniel Sunter
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
Xiaoyong Sophie Zhang
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
David Ewen Robertson
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, Research
Way, Clayton, VIC 3168, Australia
James Clement Bennett
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, Research
Way, Clayton, VIC 3168, Australia
Paul Martinus Feikema
Bureau of Meteorology, 700 Collins Street, Docklands, VIC 3008,
Australia
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Cited
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hybrid multi-model ensemble learning for reconstructing gridded runoff of Europe for 500 years U. Singh et al.
- Advancing Medium-Range Streamflow Forecasting for Large Hydropower Reservoirs in Brazil by Means of Continental-Scale Hydrological Modeling A. Kolling Neto et al.
- Deep Learning-Based Daily Streamflow Prediction Model for the Hanjiang River Basin J. Huang et al.
- Better continental-scale streamflow predictions for Australia: LSTM as a land surface model post-processor and standalone hydrological model A. Shokri et al.
- A Comparative Assessment of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for the Daily River Streamflow Forecasting M. Danesh et al.
- Coupled intelligent prediction model for medium- to long-term runoff based on teleconnection factors selection and spatial-temporal analysis J. Li et al.
- Comprehensive Overview of Flood Modeling Approaches: A Review of Recent Advances V. Kumar et al.
- A blueprint for coupling a hydrological model with fine- and coarse-scale atmospheric regional climate change models for probabilistic streamflow projections C. Rajulapati et al.
- Distributed and semi-distributed hydrological modelling for catchments draining to the Great Barrier Reef coastline U. Khan et al.
- Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study H. Tayyeh & R. Mohammed
- A review of hybrid deep learning applications for streamflow forecasting K. Ng et al.
- A hybrid framework for sub-seasonal to seasonal streamflow prediction: integrating numerical and statistical models L. Li et al.
- Insights to key operational questions in forecast-informed dam release operation: case of Hume Dam T. Ng & D. Robertson
- Monthly streamflow forecasting by machine learning methods using dynamic weather prediction model outputs over Iran M. Akbarian et al.
- Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models L. Slater et al.
- High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding H. Najafi et al.
- Performance Evaluation of a National Seven-Day Ensemble Streamflow Forecast Service for Australia M. Bari et al.
- Simulation of Gauged and Ungauged Streamflow of Coastal Catchments across Australia M. Bari et al.
- Technical note: Quadratic Solution of the Approximate Reservoir Equation (QuaSoARe) J. Lerat
- Beyond Deterministic Forecasts: A Scoping Review of Probabilistic Uncertainty Quantification in Short-to-Seasonal Hydrological Prediction D. De León Pérez et al.
- Improving Operational Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting with Conditional Bias-Penalized Post-Processing of Precipitation Forecast and Assimilation of Streamflow Data S. Kim & D. Seo
- Changes in Magnitude and Shifts in Timing of Australian Flood Peaks M. Bari et al.
- Assessment of hydrological model performance in Morocco in relation to model structure and catchment characteristics O. Jaffar et al.
- What can be expected from a semi-distributed multi-model approach for streamflow forecasting? Tailoring the structure and size of a super-ensemble on the Rhône basin C. Thébault et al.
- Calibration of precipitation forecasts from NWP models for ungauged locations Y. Du et al.
- Comparing the impact of precipitation pre-processing and streamflow post-processing for daily sub-seasonal streamflow forecasts over the Gan River basin Y. Li et al.
- Simplified Approach to Mixed-Integer Chance-Constrained Optimization with Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts for Risk-Based Dam Operation T. Ng et al.
- Stream flow prediction using TIGGE ensemble precipitation forecast data for Sabarmati river basin A. Patel & S. Yadav
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hybrid multi-model ensemble learning for reconstructing gridded runoff of Europe for 500 years U. Singh et al.
- Advancing Medium-Range Streamflow Forecasting for Large Hydropower Reservoirs in Brazil by Means of Continental-Scale Hydrological Modeling A. Kolling Neto et al.
- Deep Learning-Based Daily Streamflow Prediction Model for the Hanjiang River Basin J. Huang et al.
- Better continental-scale streamflow predictions for Australia: LSTM as a land surface model post-processor and standalone hydrological model A. Shokri et al.
- A Comparative Assessment of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for the Daily River Streamflow Forecasting M. Danesh et al.
- Coupled intelligent prediction model for medium- to long-term runoff based on teleconnection factors selection and spatial-temporal analysis J. Li et al.
- Comprehensive Overview of Flood Modeling Approaches: A Review of Recent Advances V. Kumar et al.
- A blueprint for coupling a hydrological model with fine- and coarse-scale atmospheric regional climate change models for probabilistic streamflow projections C. Rajulapati et al.
- Distributed and semi-distributed hydrological modelling for catchments draining to the Great Barrier Reef coastline U. Khan et al.
- Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study H. Tayyeh & R. Mohammed
- A review of hybrid deep learning applications for streamflow forecasting K. Ng et al.
- A hybrid framework for sub-seasonal to seasonal streamflow prediction: integrating numerical and statistical models L. Li et al.
- Insights to key operational questions in forecast-informed dam release operation: case of Hume Dam T. Ng & D. Robertson
- Monthly streamflow forecasting by machine learning methods using dynamic weather prediction model outputs over Iran M. Akbarian et al.
- Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models L. Slater et al.
- High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding H. Najafi et al.
- Performance Evaluation of a National Seven-Day Ensemble Streamflow Forecast Service for Australia M. Bari et al.
- Simulation of Gauged and Ungauged Streamflow of Coastal Catchments across Australia M. Bari et al.
- Technical note: Quadratic Solution of the Approximate Reservoir Equation (QuaSoARe) J. Lerat
- Beyond Deterministic Forecasts: A Scoping Review of Probabilistic Uncertainty Quantification in Short-to-Seasonal Hydrological Prediction D. De León Pérez et al.
- Improving Operational Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting with Conditional Bias-Penalized Post-Processing of Precipitation Forecast and Assimilation of Streamflow Data S. Kim & D. Seo
- Changes in Magnitude and Shifts in Timing of Australian Flood Peaks M. Bari et al.
- Assessment of hydrological model performance in Morocco in relation to model structure and catchment characteristics O. Jaffar et al.
- What can be expected from a semi-distributed multi-model approach for streamflow forecasting? Tailoring the structure and size of a super-ensemble on the Rhône basin C. Thébault et al.
- Calibration of precipitation forecasts from NWP models for ungauged locations Y. Du et al.
- Comparing the impact of precipitation pre-processing and streamflow post-processing for daily sub-seasonal streamflow forecasts over the Gan River basin Y. Li et al.
- Simplified Approach to Mixed-Integer Chance-Constrained Optimization with Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts for Risk-Based Dam Operation T. Ng et al.
- Stream flow prediction using TIGGE ensemble precipitation forecast data for Sabarmati river basin A. Patel & S. Yadav
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 30 Apr 2026
Short summary
Methodology for developing an operational 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia is presented. The methodology is tested for 100 catchments to learn the characteristics of different NWP rainfall forecasts, the effect of post-processing, and the optimal ensemble size and bootstrapping parameters. Forecasts are generated using NWP rainfall products post-processed by the CHyPP model, the GR4H hydrologic model, and the ERRIS streamflow post-processor inbuilt in the SWIFT package
Methodology for developing an operational 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for...