Articles | Volume 26, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3847-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3847-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comparison between canonical vine copulas and a meta-Gaussian model for forecasting agricultural drought over China
Haijiang Wu
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Ministry of Education, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Ministry of Education, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
Vijay P. Singh
Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-2117, USA
Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-2117, USA
National Water and Energy Center, UAE University, Al Ain, UAE
Te Zhang
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
Jixia Qi
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi Province, China
Shengzhi Huang
State Key Laboratory Base of Eco-Hydraulic Engineering in Arid Area, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, Shaanxi Province, China
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional-scale cotton yield forecast via data-driven spatio-temporal prediction (STP) of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) X. Kang et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2023.113861
- Increasing Risks of Future Compound Climate Extremes With Warming Over Global Land Masses H. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022EF003466
- Land-atmosphere and ocean–atmosphere couplings dominate the dynamics of agricultural drought predictability in the Loess Plateau, China J. Luo et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132225
- A novel feature extraction-selection technique for long lead time agricultural drought forecasting M. Mohammadi Ghaleni et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132332
- Compound climate extremes over the globe during 1951–2021: Changes in risk and driving factors H. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130387
- Projections of the characteristics and probability of spatially concurrent hydrological drought in a cascade reservoirs area under CMIP6 T. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128472
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0288
- Bayesian vine copulas improve agricultural drought prediction for long lead times H. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109326
- Evaluating vegetation vulnerability under compound dry and hot conditions using vine copula across global lands G. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130775
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Dynamic assessment of the impact of compound dry-hot conditions on global terrestrial water storage Z. Han et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114428
- Predicting Hydrological Drought With Bayesian Model Averaging Ensemble Vine Copula (BMAViC) Model H. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022WR033146
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional-scale cotton yield forecast via data-driven spatio-temporal prediction (STP) of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) X. Kang et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2023.113861
- Increasing Risks of Future Compound Climate Extremes With Warming Over Global Land Masses H. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022EF003466
- Land-atmosphere and ocean–atmosphere couplings dominate the dynamics of agricultural drought predictability in the Loess Plateau, China J. Luo et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132225
- A novel feature extraction-selection technique for long lead time agricultural drought forecasting M. Mohammadi Ghaleni et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132332
- Compound climate extremes over the globe during 1951–2021: Changes in risk and driving factors H. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130387
- Projections of the characteristics and probability of spatially concurrent hydrological drought in a cascade reservoirs area under CMIP6 T. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128472
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0288
- Bayesian vine copulas improve agricultural drought prediction for long lead times H. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109326
- Evaluating vegetation vulnerability under compound dry and hot conditions using vine copula across global lands G. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130775
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Dynamic assessment of the impact of compound dry-hot conditions on global terrestrial water storage Z. Han et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114428
- Predicting Hydrological Drought With Bayesian Model Averaging Ensemble Vine Copula (BMAViC) Model H. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022WR033146
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Agricultural drought forecasting lies at the core of overall drought risk management and is critical for food security and drought early warning. Using three-dimensional scenarios, we attempted to compare the agricultural drought forecast performance of a canonical vine copula (3C-vine) model and meta-Gaussian (MG) model over China. The findings show that the 3C-vine model exhibits more skill than the MG model when using 1– to 3-month lead times for forecasting agricultural drought.
Agricultural drought forecasting lies at the core of overall drought risk management and is...