Articles | Volume 26, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Apr 2022
Research article |
| 06 Apr 2022
| 06 Apr 2022
Storylines of UK drought based on the 2010–2012 event
Wilson C. H. Chan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Theodore G. Shepherd
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Katie Facer-Childs
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK
Geoff Darch
Anglian Water, Peterborough, UK
Nigel W. Arnell
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
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Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074
- Collaborative multiscale water resources planning in England A. Leonard et al. 10.1080/07900627.2024.2438209
- Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate M. Stojković et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-03874-0
- Addressing path dependencies in decision-making processes for operationalizing compound climate-risk management T. Thaler et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107073
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0288
- The role of emotional appeal in water conservation communication: a framework for social media engagement M. Abu Bakar et al. 10.1007/s40899-024-01132-0
- Climate variability conceals emerging hydrological trends across Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133414
- Temporally compounding droughts at the global scale: Distribution, propagation, and projection X. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104905
- The Changing Landscape of Water Resources Planning in England A. Leonard et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-04072-8
- Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England A. Kay et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-2953-2024
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy 10.1002/joc.8217
- Varieties of approaches to constructing physical climate storylines: A review M. Baldissera Pacchetti et al. 10.1002/wcc.869
- Divergent future drought projections in UK river flows and groundwater levels S. Parry et al. 10.5194/hess-28-417-2024
- Tracking the methodological evolution of climate change projections for UK river flows W. Chan et al. 10.1177/03091333221079201
- Investigation of alterations in droughts and floods patterns induced by climate change F. Rahmani & M. Fattahi 10.1007/s11600-023-01043-2
- Climate change-induced influences on the nonlinear dynamic patterns of precipitation and temperatures (case study: Central England) F. Rahmani & M. Fattahi 10.1007/s00704-023-04424-1
- Historical droughts in Irish catchments 1767–2016 P. O'Connor et al. 10.1002/joc.7542
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074
- Collaborative multiscale water resources planning in England A. Leonard et al. 10.1080/07900627.2024.2438209
- Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate M. Stojković et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-03874-0
- Addressing path dependencies in decision-making processes for operationalizing compound climate-risk management T. Thaler et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107073
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al. 10.1098/rsta.2021.0288
- The role of emotional appeal in water conservation communication: a framework for social media engagement M. Abu Bakar et al. 10.1007/s40899-024-01132-0
- Climate variability conceals emerging hydrological trends across Great Britain W. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133414
- Temporally compounding droughts at the global scale: Distribution, propagation, and projection X. Zhao et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104905
- The Changing Landscape of Water Resources Planning in England A. Leonard et al. 10.1007/s11269-024-04072-8
- Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England A. Kay et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-2953-2024
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy 10.1002/joc.8217
- Varieties of approaches to constructing physical climate storylines: A review M. Baldissera Pacchetti et al. 10.1002/wcc.869
- Divergent future drought projections in UK river flows and groundwater levels S. Parry et al. 10.5194/hess-28-417-2024
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Tracking the methodological evolution of climate change projections for UK river flows W. Chan et al. 10.1177/03091333221079201
- Investigation of alterations in droughts and floods patterns induced by climate change F. Rahmani & M. Fattahi 10.1007/s11600-023-01043-2
- Climate change-induced influences on the nonlinear dynamic patterns of precipitation and temperatures (case study: Central England) F. Rahmani & M. Fattahi 10.1007/s00704-023-04424-1
- Historical droughts in Irish catchments 1767–2016 P. O'Connor et al. 10.1002/joc.7542
Latest update: 30 Jun 2025
Short summary
We select the 2010–2012 UK drought and investigate an alternative unfolding of the drought from changes to its attributes. We created storylines of drier preconditions, alternative seasonal contributions, a third dry winter, and climate change. Storylines of the 2010–2012 drought show alternative situations that could have resulted in worse conditions than observed. Event-based storylines exploring plausible situations are used that may lead to high impacts and help stress test existing systems.
We select the 2010–2012 UK drought and investigate an alternative unfolding of the drought from...
