Articles | Volume 26, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Apr 2022
Research article |
| 06 Apr 2022
| 06 Apr 2022
Storylines of UK drought based on the 2010–2012 event
Wilson C. H. Chan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Theodore G. Shepherd
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Katie Facer-Childs
UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK
Geoff Darch
Anglian Water, Peterborough, UK
Nigel W. Arnell
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
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Cited
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- River flow amplification under climate change: attribution and climate-driven storylines of the winter 2023/24 UK floods W. Chan et al.
- Storyline analytical framework for understanding future severe low-water episodes and their consequences G. Rondeau-Genesse et al.
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al.
- Collaborative multiscale water resources planning in England A. Leonard et al.
- Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study H. Lewis et al.
- A framework for generating catalogues of high-impact UNSEEN flood events E. Bianco et al.
- Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate M. Stojković et al.
- Addressing path dependencies in decision-making processes for operationalizing compound climate-risk management T. Thaler et al.
- Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices C. Teutschbein et al.
- Near real-time satellite soil moisture estimation via residual learning integrated with sensor networks S. Sengupta & H. Chu
- Spatiotemporal analysis and mechanisms of drought flood abrupt alternation events in India A. Kumar & D. Arya
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al.
- Temporally compounding droughts at the global scale: Distribution, propagation, and projection X. Zhao et al.
- Arctic temperature and precipitation extremes in present-day and future storyline-based variable resolution Community Earth System Model simulations R. Wijngaard et al.
- Hydrological impacts from transient high-impact low-likelihood climate scenarios for Great Britain A. Kay
- Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England A. Kay et al.
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy
- Varieties of approaches to constructing physical climate storylines: A review M. Baldissera Pacchetti et al.
- CMIP7 data request: impacts and adaptation priorities and opportunities A. Ruane et al.
- Potential Pathways and Solutions to Acute Food System Crisis in the UK S. Bridle et al.
- Drought Analysis Methods: A Multidisciplinary Review with Insights on Key Decision-Making Factors in Method Selection A. Ahady et al.
- The role of emotional appeal in water conservation communication: a framework for social media engagement M. Abu Bakar et al.
- Climate variability conceals emerging hydrological trends across Great Britain W. Chan et al.
- The Changing Landscape of Water Resources Planning in England A. Leonard et al.
- Storylines for the 1997 New Year’s Flood: The role of watershed antecedent conditions and future warming in shaping discharge in the Truckee River watershed G. Yu et al.
- Climate change impact on hydrological droughts: Differences between two ensembles of regional climate projections across Great Britain R. Lane et al.
- Evolution of nonstationary hydrological drought characteristics in the UK under warming S. Jha et al.
- Divergent future drought projections in UK river flows and groundwater levels S. Parry et al.
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- River flow amplification under climate change: attribution and climate-driven storylines of the winter 2023/24 UK floods W. Chan et al.
- Storyline analytical framework for understanding future severe low-water episodes and their consequences G. Rondeau-Genesse et al.
- Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain W. Chan et al.
- Collaborative multiscale water resources planning in England A. Leonard et al.
- Storylines of future drought in the face of uncertain rainfall projections: a New Zealand case study H. Lewis et al.
- A framework for generating catalogues of high-impact UNSEEN flood events E. Bianco et al.
- Novel Perspectives on Environmental Dynamic Resilience: Adapting Urban Water Systems to a Changing Climate M. Stojković et al.
- Addressing path dependencies in decision-making processes for operationalizing compound climate-risk management T. Thaler et al.
- Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices C. Teutschbein et al.
- Near real-time satellite soil moisture estimation via residual learning integrated with sensor networks S. Sengupta & H. Chu
- Spatiotemporal analysis and mechanisms of drought flood abrupt alternation events in India A. Kumar & D. Arya
- Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting A. AghaKouchak et al.
- Temporally compounding droughts at the global scale: Distribution, propagation, and projection X. Zhao et al.
- Arctic temperature and precipitation extremes in present-day and future storyline-based variable resolution Community Earth System Model simulations R. Wijngaard et al.
- Hydrological impacts from transient high-impact low-likelihood climate scenarios for Great Britain A. Kay
- Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England A. Kay et al.
- Climate change impacts on spatial and seasonal meteorological drought characteristics for the island of Ireland H. Meresa & C. Murphy
- Varieties of approaches to constructing physical climate storylines: A review M. Baldissera Pacchetti et al.
- CMIP7 data request: impacts and adaptation priorities and opportunities A. Ruane et al.
- Potential Pathways and Solutions to Acute Food System Crisis in the UK S. Bridle et al.
- Drought Analysis Methods: A Multidisciplinary Review with Insights on Key Decision-Making Factors in Method Selection A. Ahady et al.
- The role of emotional appeal in water conservation communication: a framework for social media engagement M. Abu Bakar et al.
- Climate variability conceals emerging hydrological trends across Great Britain W. Chan et al.
- The Changing Landscape of Water Resources Planning in England A. Leonard et al.
- Storylines for the 1997 New Year’s Flood: The role of watershed antecedent conditions and future warming in shaping discharge in the Truckee River watershed G. Yu et al.
- Climate change impact on hydrological droughts: Differences between two ensembles of regional climate projections across Great Britain R. Lane et al.
- Evolution of nonstationary hydrological drought characteristics in the UK under warming S. Jha et al.
- Divergent future drought projections in UK river flows and groundwater levels S. Parry et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 May 2026
Short summary
We select the 2010–2012 UK drought and investigate an alternative unfolding of the drought from changes to its attributes. We created storylines of drier preconditions, alternative seasonal contributions, a third dry winter, and climate change. Storylines of the 2010–2012 drought show alternative situations that could have resulted in worse conditions than observed. Event-based storylines exploring plausible situations are used that may lead to high impacts and help stress test existing systems.
We select the 2010–2012 UK drought and investigate an alternative unfolding of the drought from...
