Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 871–887, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-871-2018

Special issue: Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 871–887, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-871-2018

Research article 01 Feb 2018

Research article | 01 Feb 2018

State updating and calibration period selection to improve dynamic monthly streamflow forecasts for an environmental flow management application

Matthew S. Gibbs et al.

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Short summary
This work developed models to predict how much water will be available in the next month to maximise environmental and social outcomes in southern Australia. Initialising the models with observed streamflow data, instead of warmed up by rainfall data, improved the results, even at a monthly lead time, making sure only data representative of the forecast period to develop the models were also important. If this step was ignored, and instead all data were used, poor predictions could be produced.