Articles | Volume 22, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Jun 2018
Research article |
| 28 Jun 2018
Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
Wouter Greuell
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Water Systems and Global Change, Wageningen University,
Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, the Netherlands
Wietse H. P. Franssen
Water Systems and Global Change, Wageningen University,
Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, the Netherlands
Hester Biemans
Water and
Food, Wageningen Environmental Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB
Wageningen, the Netherlands
Ronald W. A. Hutjes
Water Systems and Global Change, Wageningen University,
Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, the Netherlands
Water and
Food, Wageningen Environmental Research, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB
Wageningen, the Netherlands
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Cited
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. 10.1029/2020WR028392
- Seasonal forecasting of snow resources at Alpine sites S. Terzago et al. 10.5194/hess-27-519-2023
- Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill W. Greuell et al. 10.5194/hess-23-371-2019
- Analysis of the effects of biases in ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts on electricity production in hydropower reservoir management R. Arsenault & P. Côté 10.5194/hess-23-2735-2019
- The Value of Subseasonal Hydrometeorological Forecasts to Hydropower Operations: How Much Does Preprocessing Matter? D. Anghileri et al. 10.1029/2019WR025280
- Attributing correlation skill of dynamical GCM precipitation forecasts to statistical ENSO teleconnection using a set-theory-based approach T. Zhao et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5717-2021
- Skill of rice yields forecasting over Mainland Southeast Asia using the ECMWF SEAS5 ensemble prediction system and the WOFOST crop model U. Wanthanaporn et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110001
- Global hydrological reanalyses: The value of river discharge information for world‐wide downstream applications – The example of the Global Flood Awareness System GloFAS C. Prudhomme et al. 10.1002/met.2192
- Skill of seasonal flow forecasts at catchment scale: an assessment across South Korea Y. Lee et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3261-2024
- Sensitivity Analysis‐Based Automatic Parameter Calibration of the VIC Model for Streamflow Simulations Over China J. Gou et al. 10.1029/2019WR025968
- Predictability of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Based on CSM: Case Studies of Top Three Largest Rivers in China L. Liu et al. 10.3390/w13020162
- Hydro-Geomorphologic-Based Water Budget at Event Time-Scale in A Mediterranean Headwater Catchment (Southern Italy) A. Cuomo & D. Guida 10.3390/hydrology8010020
- Exploring the value of seasonal flow forecasts for drought management in South Korea Y. Lee et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
- Application of Parameter Screening to Derive Optimal Initial State Adjustments for Streamflow Forecasting J. Mai et al. 10.1029/2020WR027960
- Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain) E. Contreras et al. 10.3390/w12082119
- Skill and sources of skill in seasonal streamflow hindcasts for South America made with ECMWF’s SEAS5 and VIC W. Greuell & R. Hutjes 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128806
- Comprehensive comparison of LSTM and VIC model in river ecohydrological regimes alteration attribution: A case study in Laohahe basin, China L. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101722
- Development and Evaluation of a Pan-European Multimodel Seasonal Hydrological Forecasting System N. Wanders et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0040.1
- Seasonal ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia E. Vogel et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126620
- An Evaluation of Model Output Statistics for Subseasonal Streamflow Forecasting in European Catchments S. Schick et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0195.1
- What Are the Key Drivers Controlling the Quality of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts? I. Pechlivanidis et al. 10.1029/2019WR026987
- Hydrological regimes explain the seasonal predictability of streamflow extremes Y. Du et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf678
- Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia J. Bennett et al. 10.5194/hess-21-6007-2017
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. 10.1029/2020WR028392
- Seasonal forecasting of snow resources at Alpine sites S. Terzago et al. 10.5194/hess-27-519-2023
- Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill W. Greuell et al. 10.5194/hess-23-371-2019
- Analysis of the effects of biases in ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts on electricity production in hydropower reservoir management R. Arsenault & P. Côté 10.5194/hess-23-2735-2019
- The Value of Subseasonal Hydrometeorological Forecasts to Hydropower Operations: How Much Does Preprocessing Matter? D. Anghileri et al. 10.1029/2019WR025280
- Attributing correlation skill of dynamical GCM precipitation forecasts to statistical ENSO teleconnection using a set-theory-based approach T. Zhao et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5717-2021
- Skill of rice yields forecasting over Mainland Southeast Asia using the ECMWF SEAS5 ensemble prediction system and the WOFOST crop model U. Wanthanaporn et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110001
- Global hydrological reanalyses: The value of river discharge information for world‐wide downstream applications – The example of the Global Flood Awareness System GloFAS C. Prudhomme et al. 10.1002/met.2192
- Skill of seasonal flow forecasts at catchment scale: an assessment across South Korea Y. Lee et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3261-2024
- Sensitivity Analysis‐Based Automatic Parameter Calibration of the VIC Model for Streamflow Simulations Over China J. Gou et al. 10.1029/2019WR025968
- Predictability of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Based on CSM: Case Studies of Top Three Largest Rivers in China L. Liu et al. 10.3390/w13020162
- Hydro-Geomorphologic-Based Water Budget at Event Time-Scale in A Mediterranean Headwater Catchment (Southern Italy) A. Cuomo & D. Guida 10.3390/hydrology8010020
- Exploring the value of seasonal flow forecasts for drought management in South Korea Y. Lee et al. 10.5194/hess-29-1429-2025
- Application of Parameter Screening to Derive Optimal Initial State Adjustments for Streamflow Forecasting J. Mai et al. 10.1029/2020WR027960
- Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain) E. Contreras et al. 10.3390/w12082119
- Skill and sources of skill in seasonal streamflow hindcasts for South America made with ECMWF’s SEAS5 and VIC W. Greuell & R. Hutjes 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128806
- Comprehensive comparison of LSTM and VIC model in river ecohydrological regimes alteration attribution: A case study in Laohahe basin, China L. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101722
- Development and Evaluation of a Pan-European Multimodel Seasonal Hydrological Forecasting System N. Wanders et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0040.1
- Seasonal ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia E. Vogel et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126620
- An Evaluation of Model Output Statistics for Subseasonal Streamflow Forecasting in European Catchments S. Schick et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0195.1
- What Are the Key Drivers Controlling the Quality of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts? I. Pechlivanidis et al. 10.1029/2019WR026987
- Hydrological regimes explain the seasonal predictability of streamflow extremes Y. Du et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf678
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 24 Apr 2025
Short summary
This paper presents the development and skill analysis of WUSHP, a system that makes hydrological forecasts for time horizons up to 7 months. Hot spots of significant skill in river discharge were identified in Fennoscandia (from January to October), the southern part of the Mediterranean (from June to August), Poland, north Germany, Romania and Bulgaria (mainly from November to January), and west France (from December to May). Some skill is left at the end of the forecasts.
This paper presents the development and skill analysis of WUSHP, a system that makes...
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