Articles | Volume 21, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6461-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6461-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Does nonstationarity in rainfall require nonstationary intensity–duration–frequency curves?
Poulomi Ganguli
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster Water Resources and Hydrologic
Modelling Group, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada
now at: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Sect. 5.4 Hydrology, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Paulin Coulibaly
Department of Civil Engineering, McMaster Water Resources and Hydrologic
Modelling Group, McMaster University, 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada
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- Pooled frequency analysis for intensity–duration–frequency curve estimation A. Requena et al. 10.1002/hyp.13456
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- Evaluating the Performance of a Max-Stable Process for Estimating Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves O. Jurado et al. 10.3390/w12123314
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- Curvas de Intensidad-Duración-Frecuencia para la ciudad de Santa Clara, Cuba C. Castillo-García et al. 10.24850/j-tyca-15-01-09
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- Incorporating non-stationarity from climate change into rainfall frequency and intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves K. Schlef et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128757
- A simplified MEV formulation to model extremes emerging from multiple nonstationary underlying processes F. Marra et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.04.002
- Assessment of future changes in intensity-duration-frequency curves for Southern Ontario using North American (NA)-CORDEX models with nonstationary methods P. Ganguli & P. Coulibaly 10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.12.007
- Assessment of dynamic drought-induced ecosystem risk: Integrating time-varying hazard frequency, exposure and vulnerability W. Fang et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118176
- Assessing the Return Periods and Hydroclimatic Parameters for Rainwater Drainage in the Coastal City of Cotonou in Benin under Climate Variability D. Badou et al. 10.1155/2023/1752805
- Integrating heterogeneous information for modeling non-stationarity of extreme precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin Y. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132159
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- A Bayesian modelling approach for assessing non-stationarity in annual maximum rainfall under a changing climate T. Zelalem & K. Kasiviswanathan 10.1080/02626667.2023.2218550
- Bringing realism into a dynamic copula-based non-stationary intensity-duration model R. Vinnarasi & C. Dhanya 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.06.009
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Short summary
Using statistical models, we test whether nonstationary versus stationary models show any significant differences in terms of design storm intensity at different durations across Southern Ontario. We find that detectable nonstationarity in rainfall extremes does not necessarily lead to significant differences in design storm intensity, especially for shorter return periods. An update of 2–44 % is required in current design standards to mitigate the risk of storm-induced urban flooding.
Using statistical models, we test whether nonstationary versus stationary models show any...