Articles | Volume 21, issue 11
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5863–5874, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5863-2017
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5863–5874, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5863-2017

Research article 27 Nov 2017

Research article | 27 Nov 2017

Global change in streamflow extremes under climate change over the 21st century

Behzad Asadieh and Nir Y. Krakauer

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Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Feyen, L., and Forzieri, G.: Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2247–2260, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015, 2015.
Alfieri, L., Bisselink, B., Dottori, F., Naumann, G., Wyser, K., Feyen, L., and De Roo, A.: Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world, Earth's Futur, 5, 171–182, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000485, 2017.
Allan, R. P. and Soden, B. J.: Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes, Science, 321, 1481–484, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1160787, 2008.
Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01092, 2002.
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Multi-model analysis of global streamflow extremes for the 20th and 21st centuries under two warming scenarios is performed. About 37 and 43 % of global land areas show potential for increases in flood and drought events. Nearly 10 % of global land areas, holding around 30 % of world’s population, reflect a potentially worsening hazard of flood and drought. A significant increase in streamflow of the regions near and above the Arctic Circle, and decrease in subtropical arid areas, is projected.