Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4159-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Oct 2016
Research article |
| 13 Oct 2016
Using an integrated hydrological model to estimate the usefulness of meteorological drought indices in a changing climate
Diane von Gunten
University of Tübingen, Center for Applied Geoscience, Hölderlinstr. 12, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
Thomas Wöhling
University of Tübingen, Center for Applied Geoscience, Hölderlinstr. 12, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
Technische Universität Dresden, Department of Hydrology, Bergstr. 66, 01069 Dresden, Germany
Lincoln Agritech Ltd., Ruakura Research Centre, Hamilton, New Zealand
Claus P. Haslauer
University of Tübingen, Center for Applied Geoscience, Hölderlinstr. 12, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
Daniel Merchán
Geological Survey of Spain – IGME, C/ Manuel Lasala no. 44, 9B, Zaragoza, 50006, Spain
Jesus Causapé
Geological Survey of Spain – IGME, C/ Manuel Lasala no. 44, 9B, Zaragoza, 50006, Spain
Olaf A. Cirpka
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
University of Tübingen, Center for Applied Geoscience, Hölderlinstr. 12, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
Viewed
Total article views: 4,379 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Jan 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,538 | 1,476 | 365 | 4,379 | 739 | 211 | 249 |
- HTML: 2,538
- PDF: 1,476
- XML: 365
- Total: 4,379
- Supplement: 739
- BibTeX: 211
- EndNote: 249
Total article views: 3,389 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 13 Oct 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,081 | 969 | 339 | 3,389 | 487 | 187 | 228 |
- HTML: 2,081
- PDF: 969
- XML: 339
- Total: 3,389
- Supplement: 487
- BibTeX: 187
- EndNote: 228
Total article views: 990 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Jan 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457 | 507 | 26 | 990 | 252 | 24 | 21 |
- HTML: 457
- PDF: 507
- XML: 26
- Total: 990
- Supplement: 252
- BibTeX: 24
- EndNote: 21
Cited
9 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Drought dynamics across the hydrological cycle – an extensive validation of the National Hydrological Model of Denmark R. Schneider et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4019-2026
- SWAT-based multi-index assessment of meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological drought characteristics in the Mekong River Basin A. Nguyen Quoc et al. https://doi.org/10.15625/2615-9783/25019
- Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors J. Pang & H. Zhang https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05673-5
- Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of multi-type drought propagation processes in the Yellow River Basin, China K. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108644
- Hydrosaline balance evolution of an irrigated zone: The case of Lerma basin (Spain, 2004–2020) J. Causapé et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166996
- Spatial Multi-Criterion Decision Making (SMDM) Drought Assessment and Sustainability over East Africa from 1982 to 2015 W. Kalisa et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13245067
- Modelling for drought evolution and some hydrological implications over a semi-arid terrain using earth observation techniques A. Vishwakarma & A. Goswami https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2025.101474
- Impact of climate change on meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts in the Lower Mekong River Basin: a case study of the Srepok Basin, Vietnam T. Sam et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/wej.12424
- Detecting the cause of change using uncertain data: Natural and anthropogenic factors contributing to declining groundwater levels and flows of the Wairau Plain aquifer, New Zealand T. Wöhling et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100715
9 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Drought dynamics across the hydrological cycle – an extensive validation of the National Hydrological Model of Denmark R. Schneider et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4019-2026
- SWAT-based multi-index assessment of meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological drought characteristics in the Mekong River Basin A. Nguyen Quoc et al. https://doi.org/10.15625/2615-9783/25019
- Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors J. Pang & H. Zhang https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05673-5
- Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of multi-type drought propagation processes in the Yellow River Basin, China K. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108644
- Hydrosaline balance evolution of an irrigated zone: The case of Lerma basin (Spain, 2004–2020) J. Causapé et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166996
- Spatial Multi-Criterion Decision Making (SMDM) Drought Assessment and Sustainability over East Africa from 1982 to 2015 W. Kalisa et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13245067
- Modelling for drought evolution and some hydrological implications over a semi-arid terrain using earth observation techniques A. Vishwakarma & A. Goswami https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2025.101474
- Impact of climate change on meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts in the Lower Mekong River Basin: a case study of the Srepok Basin, Vietnam T. Sam et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/wej.12424
- Detecting the cause of change using uncertain data: Natural and anthropogenic factors contributing to declining groundwater levels and flows of the Wairau Plain aquifer, New Zealand T. Wöhling et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100715
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Sep 2026
Short summary
We compare seven meteorological drought indices that are commonly used to predict future droughts. Our goal is to assess the reliability of these indices to predict hydrological impacts of droughts under changing climatic conditions, using an integrated hydrological model. Drought indices are able to identify the timing of hydrological impacts of droughts in present and future climate. However, these indices can not estimate the severity of hydrological impacts of droughts in future climate.
We compare seven meteorological drought indices that are commonly used to predict future...
