Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
Research article
22 Jun 2016
Research article |  | 22 Jun 2016

An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models

Xing Yuan


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (Editor review) (23 May 2016) by Alexander Gelfan
AR by Xing Yuan on behalf of the Authors (24 May 2016)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (05 Jun 2016) by Alexander Gelfan
Short summary
This paper evaluates the added value from climate forecast models over the Yellow River basin. Without considering the errors in hydrological models, the climate-model-based seasonal hydrological forecasts show higher skill than the climatological forecasts, especially during the rainy season. The improvement decreases especially at short leads when the post-processed forecasts are verified against observed streamflow, and the added value mainly exists in the transition from wet to dry seasons.