An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin &ndash; Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models

Yuan, Xing

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 6

Research article

|

22 Jun 2016

Research article |

| 22 Jun 2016

An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models

Xing Yuan

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Final revised paper (published on 22 Jun 2016)
Preprint (discussion started on 04 Mar 2016)
Companion paper

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Comment on "An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part II: The added value from climate forecast models"', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Apr 2016
- AC1: 'Responses to the comments from Reviewer #1', Xing Yuan, 24 Apr 2016
RC2: 'Comment on “An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin- Part II', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Apr 2016
- AC2: 'Responses to the comments from Reviewer #2', Xing Yuan, 24 Apr 2016
RC3: 'Review of “An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin-Part II: The added value from climate forecast models”', Anonymous Referee #3, 27 Apr 2016
- AC3: 'Responses to the comments from Reviewer #3', Xing Yuan, 01 May 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (Editor review) (23 May 2016) by Alexander Gelfan

AR by Xing Yuan on behalf of the Authors (24 May 2016) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (05 Jun 2016) by Alexander Gelfan

Short summary

This paper evaluates the added value from climate forecast models over the Yellow River basin. Without considering the errors in hydrological models, the climate-model-based seasonal hydrological forecasts show higher skill than the climatological forecasts, especially during the rainy season. The improvement decreases especially at short leads when the post-processed forecasts are verified against observed streamflow, and the added value mainly exists in the transition from wet to dry seasons.