Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2453-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models
RCE-TEA, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
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Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
This paper evaluates the added value from climate forecast models over the Yellow River basin. Without considering the errors in hydrological models, the climate-model-based seasonal hydrological forecasts show higher skill than the climatological forecasts, especially during the rainy season. The improvement decreases especially at short leads when the post-processed forecasts are verified against observed streamflow, and the added value mainly exists in the transition from wet to dry seasons.
This paper evaluates the added value from climate forecast models over the Yellow River basin....