- Article
(3278 KB) - Metadata XML
- Articles & preprints
- Submission
- Policies
- Peer review
- Editorial board
- About
- EGU publications
- Manuscript tracking
Journal cover
Journal topic
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic
- Articles & preprints
- Submission
- Policies
- Peer review
- Editorial board
- About
- EGU publications
- Manuscript tracking
Journal metrics
IF5.153
IF 5-year
5.460
5.460
CiteScore
7.8
7.8
SNIP1.623
IPP4.91
SJR2.092
Scimago H
index123
index123
h5-index65
Abstracted/indexed
Abstracted/indexed
Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3923–3936, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3923-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3923–3936, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3923-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article 07 Oct 2014
Research article | 07 Oct 2014
Improving streamflow predictions at ungauged locations with real-time updating: application of an EnKF-based state-parameter estimation strategy
X. Xie et al.
Related authors
Bowen Zhu, Xianhong Xie, Chuiyu Lu, Shanshan Meng, Yi Yao, and Yibing Wang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-72, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-72, 2019
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
The hydrological modeling of China have been limited to spatial resolutions of 10 km or greater, rendering it impossible to assess local conditions. In our study, we developed a hydrological modeling based on VIC model at a much finer spatial scale (~ 6 km). The simulated runoff, SM and ET were extensively evaluated using observations and remote sensing data. This high-resolution modeling is capable of capturing flood and drought events with respect to their timing, duration, and spatial extent.
Bowen Zhu, Xianhong Xie, and Kang Zhang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-313, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-313, 2016
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
This study attempts to identify water deficit using GRACE data and vegetation response during the 2009/10 drought over North China. There was a decling trend in total water storage for the past decade based on GRACE data, and the regional deficit of water storage was approximately 25 km3 in 2009/10. This drought event has led to suppression of vegetation growth in North China. The SNWD project may ease the water storage deficit in North China for this level of drought intensity.
Yongkang Xue, Tandong Yao, Aaron A. Boone, Ismaila Diallo, Ye Liu, Xubin Zeng, William K.-M. Lau, Shiori Sugimoto, Qi Tang, Xiaoduo Pan, Peter J. van Oevelen, Daniel Klocke, Myung-Seo Koo, Zhaohui Lin, Yuhei Takaya, Tomonori Sato, Constantin Ardilouze, Subodh K. Saha, Mei Zhao, Xin-Zhong Liang, Frederic Vitart, Xin Li, Ping Zhao, David Neelin, Weidong Guo, Miao Yu, Yun Qian, Samuel S. P. Shen, Yang Zhang, Kun Yang, Ruby Leung, Jing Yang, Yuan Qiu, Michael A. Brunke, Sin Chan Chou, Michael Ek, Tianyi Fan, Hong Guan, Hai Lin, Shunlin Liang, Stefano Materia, Tetsu Nakamura, Xin Qi, Retish Senan, Chunxiang Shi, Hailan Wang, Helin Wei, Shaocheng Xie, Haoran Xu, Hongliang Zhang, Yanling Zhan, Weiping Li, Xueli Shi, Paulo Nobre, Yi Qin, Jeff Dozier, Craig R. Ferguson, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Qing Bao, Jinming Feng, Jinkyu Hong, Songyou Hong, Huilin Huang, Duoying Ji, Zhenming Ji, Shichang Kang, Yanluan Lin, Weiguang Liu, Ryan Muncaster, Yan Pan, Daniele Peano, Patricia de Rosnay, Hiroshi G. Takahashi, Jianping Tang, Guiling Wang, Shuyu Wang, Weicai Wang, Xu Zhou, and Yuejian Zhu
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-329, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-329, 2021
Preprint under review for GMD
Short summary
Short summary
This paper overviews the history and research objectives of the Global Energy and Water Exchanges (GEWEX) initiative called
Impact of initialized Land Surface temperature and Snowpack on Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction(LS4P) and provides the first phase experimental protocol (LS4P-I). The LS4P introduces spring land surface temperature/subsurface temperature anomalies over high mountain areas as a crucial factor that can lead to significant improvement in summer precipitation prediction.
Jin Ma, Ji Zhou, Frank-Michael Göttsche, Shunlin Liang, Shaofei Wang, and Mingsong Li
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 3247–3268, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3247-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3247-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Land surface temperature is an important parameter in the research of climate change and many land surface processes. This article describes the development and testing of an algorithm for generating a consistent global long-term land surface temperature product from 20 years of NOAA AVHRR radiance data. The preliminary validation results indicate good accuracy of this new long-term product, which has been designed to simplify applications and support the scientific research community.
Han Liu, Peng Gong, Jie Wang, Nicholas Clinton, Yuqi Bai, and Shunlin Liang
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 1217–1243, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1217-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1217-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We built the first set of 5 km resolution CDRs to record the annual dynamics of global land cover (GLASS-GLC) from 1982 to 2015. The average overall accuracy is 82 %. By conducting long-term change analysis, significant land cover changes and spatiotemporal patterns at various scales were found, which can improve our understanding of global environmental change and help achieve sustainable development goals. This will be further applied in Earth system modeling to facilitate relevant studies.
Aolin Jia, Shunlin Liang, Dongdong Wang, Bo Jiang, and Xiaotong Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 881–899, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-881-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-881-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a vital role in regional and global climate change due to its location and orography. After generating a long-term surface radiation (SR) dataset, we characterized the SR spatiotemporal variation along with temperature. Evidence from multiple data sources indicated that the TP dimming was primarily driven by increased aerosols from human activities, and the cooling effect of aerosol loading offsets TP surface warming, revealing the human impact on regional warming.
Bowen Zhu, Xianhong Xie, Chuiyu Lu, Shanshan Meng, Yi Yao, and Yibing Wang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-72, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-72, 2019
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
The hydrological modeling of China have been limited to spatial resolutions of 10 km or greater, rendering it impossible to assess local conditions. In our study, we developed a hydrological modeling based on VIC model at a much finer spatial scale (~ 6 km). The simulated runoff, SM and ET were extensively evaluated using observations and remote sensing data. This high-resolution modeling is capable of capturing flood and drought events with respect to their timing, duration, and spatial extent.
Bowen Zhu, Xianhong Xie, and Kang Zhang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-313, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-313, 2016
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
This study attempts to identify water deficit using GRACE data and vegetation response during the 2009/10 drought over North China. There was a decling trend in total water storage for the past decade based on GRACE data, and the regional deficit of water storage was approximately 25 km3 in 2009/10. This drought event has led to suppression of vegetation growth in North China. The SNWD project may ease the water storage deficit in North China for this level of drought intensity.
Q. Shi and S. Liang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 5659–5677, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-5659-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-5659-2014, 2014
N. F. Liu, Q. Liu, L. Z. Wang, S. L. Liang, J. G. Wen, Y. Qu, and S. H. Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2121–2129, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2121-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2121-2013, 2013
T. R. Xu, S. M. Liu, Z. W. Xu, S. Liang, and L. Xu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-10-3927-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-10-3927-2013, 2013
Preprint withdrawn
Related subject area
Subject: Catchment hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
The role and value of distributed precipitation data in hydrological models
Flood spatial coherence, triggers, and performance in hydrological simulations: large-sample evaluation of four streamflow-calibrated models
Flexible vector-based spatial configurations in land models
Two-stage variational mode decomposition and support vector regression for streamflow forecasting
Predicting probabilities of streamflow intermittency across a temperate mesoscale catchment
Importance of the informative content in the study area when regionalising rainfall-runoff model parameters: the role of nested catchments and gauging station density
Which rainfall score is more informative about the performance in river discharge simulation? A comprehensive assessment on 1318 basins over Europe
Assimilation of Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) brightness temperature into a large-scale distributed conceptual hydrological model to improve soil moisture predictions: the Murray–Darling basin in Australia as a test case
Frequency and magnitude variability of Yalu River flooding: numerical analyses for the last 1000 years
Assessing the degree of detail of temperature-based snow routines for runoff modelling in mountainous areas in central Europe
Adaptive clustering: reducing the computational costs of distributed (hydrological) modelling by exploiting time-variable similarity among model elements
Climate elasticity of evapotranspiration shifts the water balance of Mediterranean climates during multi-year droughts
A history of TOPMODEL
Future streamflow regime changes in the United States: assessment using functional classification
Risks and opportunities for a Swiss hydroelectricity company in a changing climate
Survival of the Qaidam mega-lake system under mid-Pliocene climates and its restoration under future climates
Hydrological evaluation of open-access precipitation data using SWAT at multiple temporal and spatial scales
Understanding coastal wetland conditions and futures by closing their hydrologic balance: the case of the Gialova lagoon, Greece
Why does a conceptual hydrological model fail to correctly predict discharge changes in response to climate change?
Sensitivity of meteorological-forcing resolution on hydrologic variables
The era of Infiltration
Using altimetry observations combined with GRACE to select parameter sets of a hydrological model in a data-scarce region
Assessing the impact of seasonal-rainfall anomalies on catchment-scale water balance components
Progressive water deficits during multi-year droughts in central-south Chile
Crossing hydrological and geochemical modeling to understand the spatiotemporal variability of water chemistry in a headwater catchment (Strengbach, France)
Future shift in winter streamflow modulated by the internal variability of climate in southern Ontario
On the shape of forward transit time distributions in low-order catchments
Linking economic and social factors to peak flows in an agricultural watershed using socio-hydrologic modeling
Diagnosis of future changes in hydrology for a Canadian Rockies headwater basin
Should altitudinal gradients of temperature and precipitation inputs be inferred from key parameters in snow-hydrological models?
Evaluation of the ERA5 reanalysis as a potential reference dataset for hydrological modelling over North America
Multistep-ahead daily inflow forecasting using the ERA-Interim reanalysis data set based on gradient-boosting regression trees
Behind the scenes of streamflow model performance
Quantifying the impacts of human water use and climate variations on recent drying of Lake Urmia basin: the value of different sets of spaceborne and in situ data for calibrating a global hydrological model
Irrigation, damming, and streamflow fluctuations of the Yellow River
Surface water and groundwater: unifying conceptualization and quantification of the two “water worlds”
Intra-catchment variability of surface saturation – insights from physically based simulations in comparison with biweekly thermal infrared image observations
Reconstructing the 2015 Salgar flash flood using radar retrievals and a conceptual modeling framework in an ungauged basin
Dynamics of hydrological-model parameters: mechanisms, problems and solutions
Understanding dominant controls on streamflow spatial variability to set up a semi-distributed hydrological model: the case study of the Thur catchment
Hydrograph separation: an impartial parametrisation for an imperfect method
Evaporation from a large lowland reservoir – (dis)agreement between evaporation models from hourly to decadal timescales
Beyond binary baseflow separation: a delayed-flow index for multiple streamflow contributions
On the configuration and initialization of a large-scale hydrological land surface model to represent permafrost
On the representation of water reservoir storage and operations in large-scale hydrological models: implications on model parameterization and climate change impact assessments
A time-varying parameter estimation approach using split-sample calibration based on dynamic programming
A global Budyko model to partition evaporation into interception and transpiration
Are the effects of vegetation and soil changes as important as climate change impacts on hydrological processes?
Expansion and contraction of the flowing stream network alter hillslope flowpath lengths and the shape of the travel time distribution
A virtual hydrological framework for evaluation of stochastic rainfall models
Ralf Loritz, Markus Hrachowitz, Malte Neuper, and Erwin Zehe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 147–167, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-147-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-147-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates the role and value of distributed rainfall in the runoff generation of a mesoscale catchment. We compare the performance of different hydrological models at different periods and show that a distributed model driven by distributed rainfall yields improved performances only during certain periods. We then step beyond this finding and develop a spatially adaptive model that is capable of dynamically adjusting its spatial model structure in time.
Manuela I. Brunner, Lieke A. Melsen, Andrew W. Wood, Oldrich Rakovec, Naoki Mizukami, Wouter J. M. Knoben, and Martyn P. Clark
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 105–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-105-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-105-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Assessments of current, local, and regional flood hazards and their future changes often involve the use of hydrologic models. A reliable model ideally reproduces both local flood characteristics and regional aspects of flooding. In this paper we investigate how such characteristics are represented by hydrologic models. Our results show that both the modeling of local and regional flood characteristics are challenging, especially under changing climate conditions.
Shervan Gharari, Martyn P. Clark, Naoki Mizukami, Wouter J. M. Knoben, Jefferson S. Wong, and Alain Pietroniro
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5953–5971, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5953-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5953-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This work explores the trade-off between the accuracy of the representation of geospatial data, such as land cover, soil type, and elevation zones, in a land (surface) model and its performance in the context of modeling. We used a vector-based setup instead of the commonly used grid-based setup to identify this trade-off. We also assessed the often neglected parameter uncertainty and its impact on the land model simulations.
Ganggang Zuo, Jungang Luo, Ni Wang, Yani Lian, and Xinxin He
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5491–5518, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5491-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5491-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A two-stage variational mode decomposition and support vector regression is designed to reduce the influence of boundary effects without removing or correcting boundary-affected decompositions. The proposed model significantly reduces the boundary effect consequences, saves modeling time and computation resources, barely overfits the calibration samples, and forecasts monthly runoff reasonably well compared to the benchmark models.
Nils Hinrich Kaplan, Theresa Blume, and Markus Weiler
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5453–5472, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5453-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5453-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
In recent decades the demand for detailed information of spatial and temporal dynamics of the stream network has grown in the fields of eco-hydrology and extreme flow prediction. We use temporal streamflow intermittency data obtained at various sites using innovative sensing technology as well as spatial predictors to predict and map probabilities of streamflow intermittency. This approach has the potential to provide intermittency maps for hydrological modelling and management practices.
Mattia Neri, Juraj Parajka, and Elena Toth
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5149–5171, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5149-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5149-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
One of the most informative ways to gain information on ungauged river sections is through the implementation of a rainfall-runoff model, exploiting the information collected in gauged catchments in the study area. This study analyses how the performances of different model regionalisation approaches are influenced by the informative content of the available regional data set, in order to identify the methods that are more suitable for the data availability in the region.
Stefania Camici, Christian Massari, Luca Ciabatta, Ivan Marchesini, and Luca Brocca
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4869–4885, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4869-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4869-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The paper performs the most comprehensive European-scale evaluation to date of satellite rainfall products for river flow prediction. In doing so, how errors transfer from satellite-based rainfall products into flood simulation is investigated in depth and, for the first time, quantitative guidelines on the use of these products for hydrological applications are provided. This result can represent a keystone in the use of satellite rainfall products, especially in data-scarce regions.
Renaud Hostache, Dominik Rains, Kaniska Mallick, Marco Chini, Ramona Pelich, Hans Lievens, Fabrizio Fenicia, Giovanni Corato, Niko E. C. Verhoest, and Patrick Matgen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4793–4812, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4793-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4793-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Our objective is to investigate how satellite microwave sensors, particularly Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), may help to reduce errors and uncertainties in soil moisture simulations with a large-scale conceptual hydro-meteorological model. We assimilated a long time series of SMOS observations into a hydro-meteorological model and showed that this helps to improve model predictions. This work therefore contributes to the development of faster and more accurate drought prediction tools.
Hui Sheng, Xiaomei Xu, Jian Hua Gao, Albert J. Kettner, Yong Shi, Chengfeng Xue, Ya Ping Wang, and Shu Gao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4743–4761, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4743-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4743-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This paper investigates the variability of past flooding by applying a numerical model coupled with historical records of regional climate and anthropogenic activity under the deficiency of observations. We conclude that trends in flooding frequency were predominantly modulated by the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, which highlights the need for the implementation of effective river engineering measures to counteract increasing flood risks as a result of the future.
Marc Girons Lopez, Marc J. P. Vis, Michal Jenicek, Nena Griessinger, and Jan Seibert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4441–4461, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4441-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4441-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Snow processes are crucial for runoff in mountainous areas, but their complexity makes water management difficult. Temperature models are widely used as they are simple and do not require much data, but not much thought is usually given to which model to use, which may lead to bad predictions. We studied the impact of many model alternatives and found that a more complex model does not necessarily perform better. Finding which processes are most important in each area is a much better strategy.
Uwe Ehret, Rik van Pruijssen, Marina Bortoli, Ralf Loritz, Elnaz Azmi, and Erwin Zehe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4389–4411, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4389-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4389-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper we propose adaptive clustering as a new method for reducing the computational efforts of distributed modelling. It consists of identifying similar-acting model elements during the runtime, clustering them, running the model for just a few representatives per cluster, and mapping their results to the remaining model elements in the cluster. With the example of a hydrological model, we show that this saves considerable computation time, while largely maintaining the output quality.
Francesco Avanzi, Joseph Rungee, Tessa Maurer, Roger Bales, Qin Ma, Steven Glaser, and Martha Conklin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4317–4337, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4317-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4317-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Multi-year droughts in Mediterranean climates often see a lower fraction of precipitation allocated to runoff compared to non-drought years. By comparing observed water-balance components with simulations by a hydrologic model (PRMS), we reinterpret these shifts as a hysteretic response of the water budget to climate elasticity of evapotranspiration. Our results point to a general improvement in hydrologic predictions across drought and recovery cycles by including this mechanism.
Keith J. Beven, Rob Lamb, Mike J. Kirkby, and Jim E. Freer
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-409, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-409, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
The theory that forms the basis of Topmodel was first outlined by Mike Kirkby some 45 years ago. This paper recalls some of the early developments; the rejection of the first journal paper; the early days of digital terrain analysis; model calibration and validation; the various criticisms of the simplifying assumptions; the relaxation of those assumptions in the dynamic forms of Topmodel; and considers what we might do now with the benefit of hindsight.
Manuela I. Brunner, Lieke A. Melsen, Andrew J. Newman, Andrew W. Wood, and Martyn P. Clark
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3951–3966, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3951-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3951-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Streamflow seasonality is changing and expected to further change under the influence of climate change. We here assess how annual streamflow hydrographs will change in future by using a newly developed classification scheme. Our comparison of future with current annual hydrograph classes shows that robust changes are expected only for currently melt-influenced regions in the Rocky Mountains. These upstream changes may require the adaptation of management strategies in downstream regions.
Kirsti Hakala, Nans Addor, Thibault Gobbe, Johann Ruffieux, and Jan Seibert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3815–3833, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3815-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3815-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Under a changing climate, reliable information on future hydrological conditions is necessary to inform water resource management. Here, we collaborated with a hydropower company that selected streamflow and energy demand indices. Using these indices, we identified stakeholder needs and used this to tailor the production of our climate change impact projections. We show that opportunities and risks for a hydropower company depend on a range of factors beyond those covered by traditional studies.
Dieter Scherer
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3835–3850, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3835-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3835-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
During the Pliocene, the Qaidam Basin on the Tibetan Plateau contained a mega-lake system. During the Pleistocene, it disappeared almost completely. Today, hyperarid climates prevail in the low-altitude parts of the basin. This study reveals that today's mean water balance of the Qaidam Basin is nearly zero and is positive during warmer, less dry years. The results explain how the mega-lake system could survive for a long time in the past and could eventually be restored in the future.
Jianzhuang Pang, Huilan Zhang, Quanxi Xu, Yujie Wang, Yunqi Wang, Ouyang Zhang, and Jiaxin Hao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3603–3626, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3603-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3603-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
As frequently used precipitation products, Gauge, CPC, and CHIRPS presented different behaviors in describing precipitation on different spatial and temporal scales, yet these dissimilarities could be concealed in hydrological modeling by parameter calibration and validation. Parameter adjustment in hydrologic modeling, however, would yield different water balance components and thus alter hydrologic mechanisms, demonstrating the complexity in physically describing natural hydrologic processes.
Stefano Manzoni, Giorgos Maneas, Anna Scaini, Basil E. Psiloglou, Georgia Destouni, and Steve W. Lyon
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3557–3571, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3557-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3557-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A modeling tool is developed to assess the vulnerability of coastal wetlands to climatic and water management changes. Applied to the case study of the Gialova lagoon (Greece), this tool highlights the reliance of the lagoon functionality on scarce freshwater sources already under high demand from agriculture. Climatic changes will likely increase lagoon salinity, despite efforts to improve water management.
Doris Duethmann, Günter Blöschl, and Juraj Parajka
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3493–3511, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3493-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3493-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate why a conceptual hydrological model failed to correctly predict observed discharge changes in response to increasing precipitation and air temperature in 156 Austrian catchments. Simulations indicate that poor model performance is related to two problems, namely a model structure that neglects changes in vegetation dynamics and inhomogeneities in precipitation data caused by changes in stations density with time. Other hypotheses did not improve simulated discharge changes.
Fadji Z. Maina, Erica R. Siirila-Woodburn, and Pouya Vahmani
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3451–3474, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3451-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3451-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Projecting the changes in water resources under a no-analog future climate requires integrated hydrologic models. However, these models are plagued by several sources of uncertainty. A hydrologic model was forced with various resolutions of meteorological forcing (0.5 to 40.5 km) to assess its sensitivity to these inputs. We show that most hydrologic variables reveal biases that are seasonally and spatially dependent, which can have serious implications for calibration and water management.
Keith Beven
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-308, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-308, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
Inspired by a quotation from Howard Cook in 1946, this paper traces the evolution of the infiltration theory of runoff from the work of Robert Horton and LeRoy Sherman in the 1930s to the early digital computer models of the 1970s and 1980s. Reconsideration of the perceptual model for many catchments, partly as a result of the greater appreciation of the contribution of subsurface flows to the hydrograph indicated by tracer studies, suggests a reconsideration of hydrological nomenclature.
Petra Hulsman, Hessel C. Winsemius, Claire I. Michailovsky, Hubert H. G. Savenije, and Markus Hrachowitz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3331–3359, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3331-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3331-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
In the absence of discharge data in ungauged basins, remotely sensed river water level data, i.e. altimetry, may provide valuable information to calibrate hydrological models. This study illustrated that for large rivers in data-scarce regions, river altimetry data from multiple locations combined with GRACE data have the potential to fill this gap when combined with estimates of the river geometry, thereby allowing a step towards more reliable hydrological modelling in data-scarce regions.
Paolo Nasta, Carolina Allocca, Roberto Deidda, and Nunzio Romano
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3211–3227, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3211-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3211-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Rainfall seasonal anomalies in a Mediterranean climate are assessed by using two distinct approaches: a static approach based on the standardized precipitation index and a dynamic approach that identifies the rainy season by considering rainfall magnitude, timing, and duration. The impact of rainfall seasonality on catchment-scale water balance components is evaluated through scenario-based simulations of the Soil Water Assessment Tool in the upper Alento River catchment in southern Italy.
Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Juan Pablo Boisier, René Garreaud, Jan Seibert, and Marc Vis
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-249, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-249, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
The megadrought experienced since 2010 in Chile has led to larger than expected water deficits, indicating an intensification in drought propagation. By analysing 124 catchments with varying snow/rainfall regimes, we show that such intensification is related to the hydrological memory of the catchments, and we identify the mechanisms associated to this memory. Under persistent dry conditions, snow-dominated catchments progressively generate less water, compared with their historical behaviour.
Julien Ackerer, Benjamin Jeannot, Frederick Delay, Sylvain Weill, Yann Lucas, Bertrand Fritz, Daniel Viville, and François Chabaux
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3111–3133, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3111-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3111-2020, 2020
Olivier Champagne, M. Altaf Arain, Martin Leduc, Paulin Coulibaly, and Shawn McKenzie
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3077–3096, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3077-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Using 50 members of one regional climate model and a processed-based hydrological model applied in four river basins in southern Ontario, this work focused on the winter streamflow projection uncertainties for the first half of 21st century. The results show a January–February increase of streamflow for the 50 projections due to early snowmelt and a rainfall increase. The streamflow projections are also modulated by the change of pressure patterns advecting different air masses over the region.
Ingo Heidbüchel, Jie Yang, Andreas Musolff, Peter Troch, Ty Ferré, and Jan H. Fleckenstein
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2895–2920, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2895-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2895-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
With the help of a 3-D computer model we examined how long the water of different rain events stays inside small catchments before it is discharged and how the nature of this discharge is controlled by different catchment and climate properties. We found that one can only predict the discharge dynamics when taking into account a combination of catchment and climate properties (i.e., there was not one single most important predictor). Our results can help to manage water pollution events.
David Dziubanski, Kristie J. Franz, and William Gutowski
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2873–2894, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2873-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2873-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We describe a socio-hydrologic model that couples an agent-based model (ABM) of human decision-making with a hydrologic model. We establish this model for a typical agricultural watershed in Iowa, USA, and simulate the evolution of large discharge events over a 47-year period under changing land use. Using this modeling approach, relationships between seemingly unrelated variables such as crop markets or crop yields and local peak flow trends are quantified.
Xing Fang and John W. Pomeroy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2731–2754, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2731-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2731-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
High-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting model near-surface outputs from control and future periods were bias-corrected by downscaling outputs with respect to meteorological stations in Marmot Creek Research Basin, Canadian Rocky Mountains. A hydrological model simulation driven by the bias-corrected outputs showed declined seasonal peak snowpack, shorter snow-cover duration, higher evapotranspiration, and increased streamflow discharge in Marmot Creek for the warmer and wetter future.
Denis Ruelland
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2609–2632, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2609-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2609-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Interpolation methods accounting for elevation dependency from scattered gauges result in inaccurate inputs for snow-hydrological models. Altitudinal gradients of temperature and precipitation can be successfully inferred using an inverse snow-hydrological modelling approach. This approach can significantly improve the simulation of snow cover and streamflow dynamics through more parsimonious parametrization.
Mostafa Tarek, François P. Brissette, and Richard Arsenault
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2527–2544, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2527-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2527-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The ERA5 reanalysis dataset is characterized by its high spatial (0.25) and temporal (hourly) resolutions and has therefore a large potential to drive environmental models in regions where the network of stations is deficient. ERA5 performance is evaluated on 3138 North American catchments. Results indicate that for hydrological modelling, ERA5 precipitation and temperature are just as good as observation all over North America, with the exception of the eastern half of the US.
Shengli Liao, Zhanwei Liu, Benxi Liu, Chuntian Cheng, Xinfeng Jin, and Zhipeng Zhao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2343–2363, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2343-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2343-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Inflow forecasting plays an essential role in reservoir management and operation. To improve the accuracy of multistep-ahead daily inflow forecasting, the paper develops a new hybrid inflow forecast framework using ERA-Interim data. We find that the framework significantly enhances the accuracy of inflow forecasting at lead times of 4–10 d compared with widely used and mature methods. This research provides a reference for operational inflow forecasting in remote regions.
Laurène J. E. Bouaziz, Guillaume Thirel, Tanja de Boer-Euser, Lieke A. Melsen, Joost Buitink, Claudia C. Brauer, Jan De Niel, Sotirios Moustakas, Patrick Willems, Benjamin Grelier, Gilles Drogue, Fabrizio Fenicia, Jiri Nossent, Fernando Pereira, Eric Sprokkereef, Jasper Stam, Benjamin J. Dewals, Albrecht H. Weerts, Hubert H. G. Savenije, and Markus Hrachowitz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-176, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-176, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
We quantify the differences in internal states and fluxes of twelve process-based models with similar streamflow performance and assess their plausibility using remotely-sensed estimates of evaporation, snow cover, soil moisture and total storage anomalies. The dissimilarities in internal process representation imply that these models cannot all simultaneously be close to reality. Therefore, we invite modelers to evaluate their models using multiple variables and to rely on multi-model studies.
Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari, Shahab Araghinejad, Mohammad J. Tourian, Kumars Ebrahimi, and Petra Döll
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1939–1956, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1939-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1939-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This paper uses a multi-objective approach for calibrating the WGHM model to determine the role of human water use and climate variations in the recent loss of water storage in Lake Urmia basin, Iran. We found that even without human water use Lake Urmia would not have recovered from the significant loss of lake water volume caused by the drought year 2008.
Zun Yin, Catherine Ottlé, Philippe Ciais, Feng Zhou, Xuhui Wang, Polcher Jan, Patrice Dumas, Shushi Peng, Laurent Li, Xudong Zhou, and Shilong Piao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-7, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-7, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
We improved the irrigation module in a land surface model and developed a dam operation model in aim to investigate how these human activities affect the discharge of the Yellow River in China. The results show that the irrigation mainly result in the decrease of the discharge. The dam operations, however, mainly affect the river discharge fluctuations. By considering only two operation rules: flood control and base flow guarantee, our dam model can sustainably improve the simulation accuracy.
Brian Berkowitz and Erwin Zehe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1831–1858, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1831-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1831-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We present a
blueprintfor a unified modelling framework to quantify chemical transport in both surface water and groundwater systems. There has been extensive debate over recent decades, particularly in the surface water literature, about how to explain and account for long travel times of chemical species that are distinct from water flow (rainfall-runoff) travel times. We suggest a powerful modelling framework known to be robust and effective from the field of groundwater hydrology.
Barbara Glaser, Marta Antonelli, Luisa Hopp, and Julian Klaus
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1393–1413, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1393-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1393-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The inundation of flood-prone areas can have crucial impacts on runoff generation and water quality. We investigate the variation of flooding in space and time along a small stream with long-term observations and numerical simulations. We demonstrate that the main reason for the flooding is the exfiltration of groundwater into local topographic depressions. However, only interplay with further influencing factors can explain all of the variability of the observed flooding patterns and dynamics.
Nicolás Velásquez, Carlos D. Hoyos, Jaime I. Vélez, and Esneider Zapata
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1367–1392, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1367-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1367-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
During 18 May 2015, a storm event produced a flash flood in the municipality of Salgar (northwestern Colombian Andes), resulting in more than 100 human casualties and significant economic losses. Here we present a modeled process reconstruction of what happened during this event. For this, we only use radar rainfall estimations and a digital elevation model. Results show that with scarce data there is an opportunity to obtain acceptable tools for risk management and decision making.
Tian Lan, Kairong Lin, Chong-Yu Xu, Xuezhi Tan, and Xiaohong Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1347–1366, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1347-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1347-2020, 2020
Marco Dal Molin, Mario Schirmer, Massimiliano Zappa, and Fabrizio Fenicia
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1319–1345, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1319-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1319-2020, 2020
Antoine Pelletier and Vazken Andréassian
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1171–1187, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1171-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1171-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
There are many ways for water to join a river after a rainfall event, but they can be split into two categories: the quick ones that remain in the surface and the slow ones that use other trajectories. Thus, measured streamflow of a river can be split into two components: quickflow and baseflow. We present a new method to perform this separation, using only streamflow and rainfall data, which are generally broadly available. It is then used as an analysis tool of river dynamics over France.
Femke A. Jansen and Adriaan J. Teuling
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1055–1072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1055-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1055-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We characterized the (dis)agreement between six evaporation methods from hourly to decadal timescales, focussing on the IJsselmeer region in the Netherlands. The projected changes in mean yearly water losses through evaporation between the years 2000 and 2100 range from 4 mm to 94 mm among the methods. We therefore stress that the choice of method is of great importance for water managers in their decision making.
Michael Stoelzle, Tobias Schuetz, Markus Weiler, Kerstin Stahl, and Lena M. Tallaksen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 849–867, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-849-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-849-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
During dry weather, different delayed sources of runoff (e.g. from groundwater, wetlands or snowmelt) modulate the magnitude and variability of streamflow. Hydrograph separation methods often do not distinguish these delayed contributions and mostly pool them into only two components (i.e. quickflow and baseflow). We propose a method that uncovers multiple components and demonstrates how they better reflect streamflow generation processes of different flow regimes.
Mohamed E. Elshamy, Daniel Princz, Gonzalo Sapriza-Azuri, Mohamed S. Abdelhamed, Al Pietroniro, Howard S. Wheater, and Saman Razavi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 349–379, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-349-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-349-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Permafrost is an important feature of cold-region hydrology and needs to be properly represented in hydrological and land surface models (H-LSMs), especially under the observed and expected climate warming trends. This study aims to devise a robust, yet computationally efficient, initialization and parameterization approach for permafrost. We used permafrost observations from three sites along the Mackenzie River valley spanning different permafrost classes to test the validity of the approach.
Thanh Duc Dang, A. F. M. Kamal Chowdhury, and Stefano Galelli
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 397–416, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-397-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-397-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A common problem in catchment hydrology lies in the representation of dams in numerical models. Here, we contribute to the existing literature by showing that the representation of water reservoirs can largely impact the model parameters, a result attained by comparing the parameters of a model for the upper Mekong basin built with or without reservoirs. We show that a flawed parameter estimation affects the representation of key physical processes and the downstream applications of the model.
Xiaojing Zhang and Pan Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-639, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-639, 2019
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
Rainfall-runoff models are useful tools for streamflow simulation, however, efforts are needed to investigate how their parameters vary in response to climate changes and human activities. Thus, this study proposes a new method for estimating time-varying parameters, by considering both simulation accuracy and parameter continuity. The results show the proposed method is more effective for identifying temporal variations of parameters, and can simultaneously provide good streamflow simulation.
Ameneh Mianabadi, Miriam Coenders-Gerrits, Pooya Shirazi, Bijan Ghahraman, and Amin Alizadeh
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4983–5000, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4983-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4983-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Evaporation is the biggest water consumer of the rainfall that falls on the land. Knowing its magnitude will help water resources to develop water use strategies. This study describes a model that can estimate the magnitude of evaporation on a global level. It does not use local information, only information from rainfall and vegetation patterns derived from satellites.
Kabir Rasouli, John W. Pomeroy, and Paul H. Whitfield
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4933–4954, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4933-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4933-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The combined effects of changes in climate, vegetation, and soils on mountain hydrology were modeled in three mountain basins. In the Yukon, an insignificant increasing effect of vegetation change on snow was found to be important enough to offset the climate change effect. In the Canadian Rockies, a combined effect of soil and climate change on runoff became significant, whereas their individual effects were not significant. Only vegetation change decreased runoff in the basin in Idaho.
H. J. Ilja van Meerveld, James W. Kirchner, Marc J. P. Vis, Rick S. Assendelft, and Jan Seibert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4825–4834, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4825-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4825-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Flowing stream networks extend and retract seasonally and in response to precipitation. This affects the distances and thus the time that it takes a water molecule to reach the flowing stream and the stream outlet. When the network is fully extended, the travel times are short, but when the network retracts, the travel times become longer and more uniform. These dynamics should be included when modeling solute or pollutant transport.
Bree Bennett, Mark Thyer, Michael Leonard, Martin Lambert, and Bryson Bates
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4783–4801, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4783-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4783-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
A new stochastic rainfall model evaluation framework is introduced, with three key features: (1) streamflow-based, to directly evaluate modelled streamflow performance, (2) virtual, to avoid confounding errors in hydrological models or data, and (3) targeted, to isolate errors according to specific sites/months. The framework identified the importance of rainfall in the
wetting-upmonths for providing reliable predictions of streamflow over the entire year despite their low flow volumes.
Cited articles
Ajami, N. K., Duan, Q., and Sorooshian, S.: An integrated hydrologic Bayesian multimodel combination framework: Confronting input, parameter, and model structural uncertainty in hydrologic prediction, Water Resour. Res., 43, W01403, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005wr004745, 2007.
Arnold, J. G. and Fohrer, N.: SWAT2000: current capabilities and research opportunities in applied watershed modelling, Hydrol. Process., 19, 563–572, 2005.
Arnold, J. G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R. S., and Williams, J.: Large area hydrologic modeling and assessment part I: Model development1, JAWRA J. Am. Water Resour. As., 34, 73–89, 1998.
Blöschl, G., Reszler, C., and Komma, J.: A spatially distributed flash flood forecasting model, Environ. Model. Softw., 23, 464–478, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.06.010, 2008.
Cai, X. L.: Strategy analysis on integrated irrigation water management with RS/GIS and hydrological model, Ph.D thesis, Wuhan University (China), 2007.
Chen, F., Crow, W. T., Starks, P. J., and Moriasi, D. N.: Improving hydrologic predictions of a catchment model via assimilation of surface soil moisture, Adv. Water Resour., 34, 526–536, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2011.01.011, 2011.
Clark, M. P., Rupp, D. E., Woods, R. A., Zheng, X., Ibbitt, R. P., Slater, A. G., Schmidt, J., and Uddstrom, M. J.: Hydrological data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter: Use of streamflow observations to update states in a distributed hydrological model, Adv. Water Resour., 31, 1309–1324, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.06.005, 2008.
Crow, W. T. and Reichle, R. H.: Comparison of adaptive filtering techniques for land surface data assimilation, Water Resour. Res., 44, W08423, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008wr006883, 2008.
Crow, W. T. and Van Loon, E.: Impact of incorrect model error assumptions on the sequential assimilation of remotely sensed surface soil moisture, J. Hydrometeorol., 7, 421–432, 2006.
DeChant, C. M. and Moradkhani, H.: Examining the effectiveness and robustness of sequential data assimilation methods for quantification of uncertainty in hydrologic forecasting, Water Resour. Res., 48, W04518, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011wr011011, 2012.
Duan, Q. Y., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V.: Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models, Water Resour. Res., 28, 1015–1031, 1992.
Duan, Q. Y., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V. K.: Optimal Use of the Sce-Ua Global Optimization Method for Calibrating Watershed Models, J. Hydrol., 158, 265–284, 1994.
Evensen, G.: Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte Carlo methods to forecast error statistics, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 10143–10162, https://doi.org/10.1029/94jc00572, 1994.
Evensen, G.: The ensemble Kalman filter: Theoretical formulation and practical implementation, Ocean. Dynam., 53, 343–367, 2003.
Evensen, G.: Data Assimilation: the Ensemble Kalman Filter, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2009.
Gassman, P., Reyes, M., Green, C., and Arnold, J.: The soil and water assessment tool: historical development, applications, and future research directions, Trans. ASABE, 50, 1211–1250, 2007.
Gupta, H. V., Clark, M. P., Vrugt, J. A., Abramowitz, G., and Ye, M.: Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy, Water Resour. Res., 48, W08301, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011wr011044, 2012.
Helton, J. and Davis, F.: Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems, Reliabil. Eng. Syst. Safe., 81, 23–69, 2003.
Holvoet, K., van Griensven, A., Seuntjens, P., and Vanrolleghem, P. A.: Sensitivity analysis for hydrology and pesticide supply towards the river in SWAT, Phys. Chem. Earth, Parts A/B/C, 30, 518–526, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2005.07.006, 2005.
Hrachowitz, M., Savenije, H. H. G., Blöschl, G., McDonnell, J. J., Sivapalan, M., Pomeroy, J. W., Arheimer, B., Blume, T., Clark, M. P., Ehret, U., Fenicia, F., Freer, J. E., Gelfan, A., Gupta, H. V., Hughes, D. A., Hut, R. W., Montanari, A., Pande, S., Tetzlaff, D., Troch, P. A., Uhlenbrook, S., Wagener, T., Winsemius, H. C., Woods, R. A., Zehe, E., and Cudennec, C.: A decade of Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB) – a review, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 58, 1198–1255, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.803183, 2013.
Lee, H., Seo, D.-J., Liu, Y., Koren, V., McKee, P., and Corby, R.: Variational assimilation of streamflow into operational distributed hydrologic models: effect of spatiotemporal scale of adjustment, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2233–2251, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-2233-2012, 2012.
Li, Y., Ryu, D., Western, A. W., and Wang, Q. J.: Assimilation of stream discharge for flood forecasting: The benefits of accounting for routing time lags, Water Resour. Res., 49, 1887–1900, https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20169, 2013.
Liu, F.: Bayesian time series: analysis methods using simulation-based computation Ph.D thesis, Institutes of Statistics and Decision Science, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA, 2000.
Liu, Y. and Gupta, H. V.: Uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Toward an integrated data assimilation framework, Water Resour. Res., 43, W07401, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR005756, 2007.
Liu, G., Chen, Y., and Zhang, D.: Investigation of flow and transport processes at the MADE site using ensemble Kalman filter, Adv. Water Resour., 31, 975–986, 2008.
McMillan, H. K., Hreinsson, E. Ö., Clark, M. P., Singh, S. K., Zammit, C., and Uddstrom, M. J.: Operational hydrological data assimilation with the recursive ensemble Kalman filter, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 21–38, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-21-2013, 2013.
Merz, R. and Blöschl, G.: Regionalisation of catchment model parameters, J. Hydrol., 287, 95–123, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.09.028, 2004.
Moradkhani, H., Hsu, K.-L., Gupta, H., and Sorooshian, S.: Uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model states and parameters: Sequential data assimilation using the particle filter, Water Resour. Res., 41, W05012, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004wr003604, 2005a.
Moradkhani, H., Sorooshian, S., Gupta, H. V., and Houser, P. R.: Dual state-parameter estimation of hydrological models using ensemble Kalman filter, Adv. Water Resour., 28, 135–147, 2005b.
Muleta, M. K. and Nicklow, J. W.: Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis coupled with automatic calibration for a distributed watershed model, J. Hydrol., 306, 127–145, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.09.005, 2005.
Neitsch, S., Arnold, J., Kiniry, J., Williams, J., and King, K.: Soil and water assessment tool theoretical documentation version 2000, Grassland, Soil and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, Texas, 2001.
Norbiato, D., Borga, M., Degli Esposti, S., Gaume, E., and Anquetin, S.: Flash flood warning based on rainfall thresholds and soil moisture conditions: An assessment for gauged and ungauged basins, J. Hydrol., 362, 274–290, 2008.
Pan, M. and Wood, E. F.: Inverse streamflow routing, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 4577–4588, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4577-2013, 2013.
Parajka, J., Viglione, A., Rogger, M., Salinas, J. L., Sivapalan, M., and Blöschl, G.: Comparative assessment of predictions in ungauged basins – Part 1: Runoff-hydrograph studies, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1783–1795, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1783-2013, 2013.
Ponce, V., Hawkins, R., Golding, B., Smith, R., and Willeke, G.: Runoff curve number: Has it reached maturity?, J. Hydrol. Eng., 1, 11–19, 1996.
Post, D. A. and Jakeman, A. J.: Predicting the daily streamflow of ungauged catchments in SE Australia by regionalising the parameters of a lumped conceptual rainfall-runoff model, Ecol. Model., 123, 91–104, 1999.
Rakovec, O., Weerts, A. H., Hazenberg, P., Torfs, P. J. J. F., and Uijlenhoet, R.: State updating of a distributed hydrological model with Ensemble Kalman Filtering: effects of updating frequency and observation network density on forecast accuracy, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3435–3449, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3435-2012, 2012.
Rallison, R. and Miller, N.: Past, present and future SCS runoff procedure, in: Rainfall Runoff Relationship, edited by: Singh, V. P., Water Resour. Publ., Littleton, Colo., USA, 353–364, 1981.
Reichle, R., McLaughlin, D., and Entekhabi, D.: Hydrologic data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter, Mon. Weather Rev., 130, 103–114, 2002.
Reichle, R. H., Crow, W. T., and Keppenne, C. L.: An adaptive ensemble Kalman filter for soil moisture data assimilation, Water Resour. Res., 44, W03423, 10.1029/2007wr006357, 2008.
Sellami, H., La Jeunesse, I., Benabdallah, S., Baghdadi, N., and Vanclooster, M.: Uncertainty analysis in model parameters regionalization: a case study involving the SWAT model in Mediterranean catchments (Southern France), Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2393–2413, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2393-2014, 2014.
Sivapalan, M.: Prediction in ungauged basins: a grand challenge for theoretical hydrology, Hydrol. Process., 17, 3163–3170, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5155, 2003.
Sivapalan, M., Takeuchi, K., Franks, S. W., Gupta, V. K., Karambiri, H., Lakshmi, V., Liang, X., McDonnell, J. J., Mendiondo, E. M., O'Connell, P. E., Oki, T., Pomeroy, J. W., Schertzer, D., Uhlenbrook, S., and Zehe, E.: IAHS Decade on Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB), 2003–2012: Shaping an exciting future for the hydrological sciences, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 48, 857–880, https://doi.org/10.1623/hysj.48.6.857.51421, 2003.
Srinivasan, R., Zhang, X., and Arnold, J.: SWAT ungauged: hydrological budget and crop yield predictions in the Upper Mississippi River Basin, Trans. ASABE, 53, 1533–1546, 2010.
Tran, A. P., Vanclooster, M., Zupanski, M., and Lambot, S.: Joint estimation of soil moisture profile and hydraulic parameters by ground-penetrating radar data assimilation with maximum likelihood ensemble filter, Water Resour. Res., 50, 3131–3146, 10.1002/2013WR014583, 2014.
Troch, P. A., Paniconi, C., and McLaughlin, D.: Catchment-scale hydrological modeling and data assimilation, Adv. Water Resour., 26, 131–135, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0309-1708(02)00087-8, 2003.
Troch, P. A., Carrillo, G., Sivapalan, M., Wagener, T., and Sawicz, K.: Climate-vegetation-soil interactions and long-term hydrologic partitioning: signatures of catchment co-evolution, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2209–2217, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2209-2013, 2013.
van Griensven, A., Meixner, T., Grunwald, S., Bishop, T., Diluzio, M., and Srinivasan, R.: A global sensitivity analysis tool for the parameters of multi-variable catchment models, J. Hydrol., 324, 10–23, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.09.008, 2006.
Vrugt, J. A., Diks, C. G. H., Gupta, H. V., Bouten, W., and Verstraten, J. M.: Improved treatment of uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Combining the strengths of global optimization and data assimilation, Water Resour. Res., 41, W01017, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004wr003059, 2005.
Vrugt, J. A., ter Braak, C. J. F., Clark, M. P., Hyman, J. M., and Robinson, B. A.: Treatment of input uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Doing hydrology backward with Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation, Water Resour. Res., 44, W00b09, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007wr006720, 2008.
Vrugt, J. A., ter Braak, C. J., Diks, C. G., and Schoups, G.: Hydrologic data assimilation using particle Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation: Theory, concepts and applications, Adv. Water Resour., 51, 457–478, 2013.
Wang, D., Chen, Y., and Cai, X.: State and parameter estimation of hydrologic models using the constrained ensemble Kalman filter, Water Resour. Res., 45, W11416, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008wr007401, 2009.
Xie, X.: Simult aneous State-Parameter Estimation for Hydrologic Modeling Using Ensemble Kalman Filter. Land Surface Observation, Modeling and Data Assimilation, 441–464, https://doi.org/10.1142/9789814472616_0014, 2013.
Xie, X. and Cui, Y.: Development and test of SWAT for modeling hydrological processes in irrigation districts with paddy rice, J. Hydrol., 396, 61–71, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.10.032, 2011.
Xie, X. and Zhang, D.: Data assimilation for distributed hydrological catchment modeling via ensemble Kalman filter, Adv. Water Resour., 33, 678–690, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2010.03.012, 2010.
Xie, X. and Zhang, D.: A partitioned update scheme for state-parameter estimation of distributed hydrologic models based on the ensemble Kalman filte, Water Resour. Res., 49, 7350–7365, https://doi.org/10.1002/2012WR012853, 2013.
Yang, J., Gong, P., Fu, R., Zhang, M., Chen, J., Liang, S., Xu, B., Shi, J., and Dickinson, R.: The role of satellite remote sensing in climate change studies, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 875–883, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1908, 2013.
Zhang, X., Srinivasan, R., and Van Liew, M.: Multi-site calibration of the SWAT model for hydrologic modeling, Trans. ASABE, 51, 2039–2049, 2008.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
All site content, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.