Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-893-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-893-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
Research article
 | 
13 Feb 2026
Research article |  | 13 Feb 2026

Incorporating natural variability in master recession curves

Thomas A. McMahon, Rory J. Nathan, and Richard George

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Short summary
Master Recession Curves have long been used to estimate the decline in streamflows following rainfall. Although the approach has wide practical application in water management, it can be overly simple and not match all observations. We propose an approach that represents the changes in streamflow behaviour due to variations in climate and geology. The approach matches observed behaviour well, is consistent with field observations, and is well suited to uncertainty analysis.
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