Articles | Volume 30, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-6207-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The ability of LSTM to model snowmelt versus rainfall generated floods
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- Final revised paper (published on 06 Oct 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 06 Mar 2026)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1056', Klaus Vormoor, 10 Apr 2026
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Sigrid Joergensen Bakke, 05 May 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1056', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Apr 2026
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Sigrid Joergensen Bakke, 05 May 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (05 Jul 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Sigrid Joergensen Bakke on behalf of the Authors (26 Aug 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (31 Aug 2026) by Thom Bogaard
RR by Klaus Vormoor (16 Sep 2026)
ED: Publish as is (24 Sep 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Sigrid Joergensen Bakke on behalf of the Authors (29 Sep 2026)
Manuscript
The study by Bakke et al. evaluates a LSTM model with regard to its ability to simulate snowmelt- vs. rainfall generated flood events and examines the potential for its operational use in flood forecasting in snow-influenced regions such as Norway. The manuscript is well structured and well written, and the selection and quality of the figures are excellent. Testing deep learning approaches like LSTM to simulate streamflow/floods and comparing them to a benchmark model is nothing new. However, the innovation of this study lies in the specific consideration of flood generating processes for this model evaluation and comparison. As a result, this study could make a relevant contribution to HESS and should be considered for publication once some incomplete and unclear points have been resolved.
GENERAL COMMENTS:
SPECIFIC COMMENTS:
Introduction or Data: Since the study focuses on Norway, the relevance of snowmelt, rainfall and a combination of both for flood generation should be better demonstrated for this region.
Introduction: LSTM is one deep learning approach among others. The literature review should be a bit broader in this regard. Since LSTMs often perform better than other methods, this actually provides a good reason for why LSTM is applied in this study.
L42 I am at least aware of the beforementioned study that apply a LSTM to simulate rain-on-snow floods in Germany
L87 Please indicate percentage or number of catchments being partly glacier cover.
L92 Comparability of the SeNorge snow model and the output of the HBV snow routine: Here, I was wondering if it would make sense to evaluate the ability of the benchmark model to correctly model the specific flood type as classified by the approach in section 2.6 using the data described in 2.2 and the output of the catchment specific HBV. On the other hand, this cannot be tested for the LSTM. Same direction as my GC (2).
Table 1 Just for curiosity: has it been tested how the LSTM performs when using only subsets of these catchment attributes? Alternatively, could specific attributes be identified as important predictors? Sometimes this leads to some hardly explainable surprises.
L126 Was the same objective function used to optimize the LSTM? If not, this could have an impact on the ability of simulating peak flows.
Section 2.4 Is the LSTM applied on a gridded basis or for catchment averages?
Sections 2.4 and 2.5 I suggest moving the last paragraph of 2.4 to 2.5 and the first paragraph of 2.5 to 2.4.
Section 2.6 The approach of detecting flood generating processes is comparatively simple but effective. Still, I suggest putting this into context of other more sophisticated approaches of flood type differentiation.
L269 I am a bit surprised about the low number of mixed floods. Were the same thresholds regarding snowmelt- and rainfall contribution used as in the cited reference? Generally, it is worth adding one or two more sentences on this procedure in section 2.6 so that the reader does not need to search for the reference.
L281 For hydrological models, the goodness-of-fit is often higher due to low model errors during winter low flows, particularly in snow-dominated catchments. Is this also the case for LSTM? According to Figure 4 (c), probably not as pronounced as for HBV.
Figure 5 should indicate the number of events per class either in the bar labels or in the figure caption.
Figure 10. Station numbers in the x-axis might be confusing. I suggest numbering from 1-103, or indicating that numbers are station numbers or catchment IDs, respectively.
L389 This sentence needs reformulation. What aspects? Maybe “The relevance of ... differ between”. In addition, these “aspects” may also differ for different spatial and temporal scales, i.e., flood type dominance, relevance of catchment (storage) characteristics, antecedent conditions, flood durations etc.
TECHNICAL CORRECTIONS:
L2 I suggest writing “… most successful deep learning models…”
L114 Abbreviation NVE has already been introduced
Check the use of “percent” vs. “percentage”. For example, I think it is called mean absolute percentage error.
When referred to a figure in the main text, it is “Figure #” not “Fig. #”; “(Fig. #)” is correct.
L351 “has previously shown”
L365 I suggest shortening this to “…for different flood types…”
L420 “errors were notably smaller” rather than “…better”
L511 Reference Langsholt is missing an „E.“
References:
Czakay, C., Tarasova, L., and Ahrens, B.: Composition, frequency and magnitude of future rain-on-snow floods in Germany, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3532, 2025
De la Fuente, L. A., Ehsani, M. R., Gupta, H. V., and Condon, L. E.: Toward interpretable LSTM-based modeling of hydrological systems, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 945–971, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-945-2024, 2024.