Articles | Volume 30, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4565-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4565-2026
Research article
 | 
20 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 20 Jul 2026

The complex effect of climate change and urbanization on streamflow in small–medium eastern Mediterranean catchments

Yair Rinat, Moshe Armon, and Efrat Morin

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Short summary
In the coming decades Mediterranean floods are expected to change due to increased urbanization and climate change. We simulate floods under different conditions and show that future rainfall will likely reduce flood magnitudes, but increased urbanization will make them higher. Flood intensification is more pronounced at upstream sections and when soil moisture is high. As future flood trends may change between different regions further research is needed to cope with upcoming challenges.
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