Articles | Volume 30, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1117-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1117-2026
Research article
 | 
26 Feb 2026
Research article |  | 26 Feb 2026

Uncertainties in long-term ensemble estimates of contextual evapotranspiration over southern France

Samuel Mwangi, Albert Olioso, Jordi Etchanchu, Kanishka Mallick, Aolin Jia, Jérôme Demarty, Nesrine Farhani, Emmanuelle Sarrazin, Philippe Gamet, Jean-Louis Roujean, and Gilles Boulet

Related authors

Satellite-derived management indicators improve modeling of water and greenhouse gas fluxes in Swiss agroecosystems
Aolin Jia, Helge Aasen, Lukas Hörtnagl, Iris Feigenwinter, Sélène Ledain, Thomas Lauber, Kukka-Maaria Kohonen, Flavian Tschurr, Lorenz Allemann, Fabio Turco, and Nina Buchmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3522,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3522, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Understanding ecosystem gross primary productivity, evapotranspiration, and water use efficiency of maize using ISBA-A-gs land surface model over temperate and tropical semi-arid climates
Syam Chintala, Lionel Jarlan, Vincent Rivalland, Aaron Boone, Oluwakemi Dare-Idowu, Valerie Le Dantec, Gilles Boulet, BVN P. Kambhammettu, and Aurore Brut
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3119,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3119, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Hydrological regime shifts in Sahelian watersheds: an investigation with a simple dynamical model driven by annual precipitation
Erwan Le Roux, Valentin Wendling, Gérémy Panthou, Océane Dubas, Jean-Pierre Vandervaere, Basile Hector, Guillaume Favreau, Jean-Martial Cohard, Caroline Pierre, Luc Descroix, Eric Mougin, Manuela Grippa, Laurent Kergoat, Jérôme Demarty, Nathalie Rouche, Jordi Etchanchu, and Christophe Peugeot
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 929–944, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-929-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-929-2026, 2026
Short summary
Enhancing environmental models with a new downscaling method for global radiation in complex terrain
Arsène Druel, Julien Ruffault, Hendrik Davi, André Chanzy, Olivier Marloie, Miquel De Cáceres, Albert Olioso, Florent Mouillot, Christophe François, Kamel Soudani, and Nicolas K. Martin-StPaul
Biogeosciences, 22, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-1-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-1-2025, 2025
Short summary
Measuring and modelling directional effects in the frame of TIRAMISU (Thermal InfraRed Anisotropy Measurements in India and Southern eUrope)
Chandrika Pinnepalli, Jean-Louis Roujean, and Mark Irvine
ISPRS Ann. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci., X-3-2024, 325–330, https://doi.org/10.5194/isprs-annals-X-3-2024-325-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/isprs-annals-X-3-2024-325-2024, 2024

Cited articles

Allies, A., Demarty, J., Olioso, A., Moussa, I. B., Issoufou, H. B. A., Velluet, C., Bahir, M., Maïnassara, I., Oï, M., Chazarin, J. P., and Cappelaere, B.: Evapotranspiration estimation in the sahel using a new ensemble-contextual method, Remote Sens., 12, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12030380, 2020. 
Allies, A., Olioso, A., Cappelaere, B., Boulet, G., Etchanchu, J., Barral, H., Bouzou Moussa, I., Chazarin, J.-P., Delogu, E., Issoufou, H. B.-A., Mainassara, I., Oï, M., and Demarty, J.: A remote sensing data fusion method for continuous daily evapotranspiration mapping at kilometric scale in Sahelian areas, J. Hydrol., 607, 127504, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127504, 2022. 
Bonett, D. G.: Confidence interval for a coefficient of quartile variation, Comput. Stat. Data Anal., 50, 2953–2957, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2005.05.007, 2006. 
Boulet, G., Mougenot, B., Lhomme, J.-P., Fanise, P., Lili-Chabaane, Z., Olioso, A., Bahir, M., Rivalland, V., Jarlan, L., Merlin, O., Coudert, B., Er-Raki, S., and Lagouarde, J.-P.: The SPARSE model for the prediction of water stress and evapotranspiration components from thermal infra-red data and its evaluation over irrigated and rainfed wheat, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 4653–4672, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-4653-2015, 2015. 
Carlson, T.: An Overview of the “Triangle Method” for Estimating Surface Evapotranspiration and Soil Moisture from Satellite Imagery, Sensors, 7, 1612–1629, https://doi.org/10.3390/s7081612, 2007. 
Download
Short summary
The EVapotranspiration Assessment from SPAce (EVASPA) algorithm that will generate TRISHNA evapotranspiration (TRISHNA ET) products shows good agreement with observations. Analyses conducted on 4 variables used in contextual ET modelling showed that land surface temperature and evaporative fraction methods introduce the largest uncertainty in ensemble estimates, followed by radiation. Soil heat flux methods contribute the least. Robust ET products will require optimizing the sensitive variables.
Share