The UK Hydrological Outlook river flow forecasting system recently implemented the Historic Weather Analogues method. The method improves winter river flow forecast skill across the UK, especially in upland, fast-responding catchments with low catchment storage. Forecast skill is highest in winter due to accurate prediction of atmospheric circulation patterns like the North Atlantic Oscillation. The Ensemble Streamflow prediction method remains a robust benchmark, especially for other seasons.

In hydrological science, better accounting for regime shift (abrupt and/or irreversible changes) remains a challenge that could lead to a new paradigm for the adaptation to extreme events (flood , drought). In this article, we present a simple model that can account for a hydrological regime shift in Sahelian watersheds. Based on this model, we find that the Gorouol, Dargol, Nakanbé, and Sirba watersheds have shifted during the droughts of the '70s–'80s.

Abandoned mine systems release contaminants through episodic connectivity rather than steady seepage. At the Reiche Zeche mine, we show that low flow and pre-flush phases accumulate solutes that are rapidly exported during short-lived reconnection events. These hot moments dominate annual metal loads, highlighting the need for event-sensitive monitoring and targeted, near-source remediation strategies.