Articles | Volume 29, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5405-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5405-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Oct 2025
Research article |
| 21 Oct 2025
| 21 Oct 2025
Can we reliably estimate precipitation with high resolution during disastrously large floods?
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Centre of the Weather Forecasting Service, Warszawa, Poland
Anna Jurczyk
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Centre of the Weather Forecasting Service, Warszawa, Poland
Katarzyna Ośródka
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Centre of the Weather Forecasting Service, Warszawa, Poland
Agnieszka Kurcz
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Centre of the Weather Forecasting Service, Warszawa, Poland
Magdalena Szaton
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Centre of the Weather Forecasting Service, Warszawa, Poland
Mariusz Figurski
Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Department of Geodesy, Gdańsk, Poland
Robert Pyrc
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Hydrological and Meteorological Measurement and Observation Network Centre, Warszawa, Poland
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Short summary
During the flooding of the Odra River in September 2024, daily rainfall exceeded 200 mm. The reliability of high-resolution rainfall estimates available in real time was assessed: rain gauges, radars, satellites, unconventional, and multi-source, and also reanalyses. Rain gauges, adjusted radar, and multi-source estimates showed the highest accuracy, with unconventional methods slightly lower. Numerical weather prediction models still offered reasonable reliability, but satellite estimates were less effective.
During the flooding of the Odra River in September 2024, daily rainfall exceeded 200 mm. The...
