Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 29, issue 20
Articles | Volume 29, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5405-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5405-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 29, issue 20
Research article
 | 
21 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 21 Oct 2025

Can we reliably estimate precipitation with high resolution during disastrously large floods?

Jan Szturc, Anna Jurczyk, Katarzyna Ośródka, Agnieszka Kurcz, Magdalena Szaton, Mariusz Figurski, and Robert Pyrc

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Short summary
During the flooding of the Odra River in September 2024, daily rainfall exceeded 200 mm. The reliability of high-resolution rainfall estimates available in real time was assessed: rain gauges, radars, satellites, unconventional, and multi-source, and also reanalyses. Rain gauges, adjusted radar, and multi-source estimates showed the highest accuracy, with unconventional methods slightly lower. Numerical weather prediction models still offered reasonable reliability, but satellite estimates were less effective.
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