Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4689-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4689-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 29, issue 18
Research article
 | 
29 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 29 Sep 2025

High-resolution downscaled CMIP6 drought projections for Australia

Rohan Eccles, Ralph Trancoso, Jozef Syktus, Sarah Chapman, Nathan Toombs, Hong Zhang, Shaoxiu Ma, and Ryan McGloin

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Short summary
Rainfall and evaporation are two key variables influencing when droughts occur and their severity. We use the latest climate simulations for Australia to see how changes to rainfall and evaporation influence future droughts for Australia and show increases are likely over most of Australia, especially in the south. Increases in evaporation are shown to be larger than changes to rainfall over most of the continent. We show that keeping emissions to lower levels can work to mitigate these impacts.
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Drought, society, and ecosystems (NHESS/BG/GC/HESS inter-journal...