Articles | Volume 29, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-447-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-447-2025
Research article
 | 
23 Jan 2025
Research article |  | 23 Jan 2025

Heavy-tailed flood peak distributions: what is the effect of the spatial variability of rainfall and runoff generation?

Elena Macdonald, Bruno Merz, Viet Dung Nguyen, and Sergiy Vorogushyn

Model code and software

Package 'TUWmodel' A. Viglione and J. Parajka https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/TUWmodel/index.html

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Short summary
Flood peak distributions indicate how likely the occurrence of an extreme flood is at a certain river. If the distribution has a so-called heavy tail, extreme floods are more likely than might be anticipated. We find heavier tails in small catchments compared to large catchments, and spatially variable rainfall leads to a lower occurrence probability of extreme floods. Spatially variable runoff does not show effects. The results can improve estimations of probabilities of extreme floods.